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No. 1 Florida and No. 14 Miami open their respective 2026-27 men’s college basketball seasons Monday night with a highly anticipated in-state showdown in the Orion180 Tip-Off Classic at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa.

Both teams are looking to bounce back from disappointing second-round exits in last season’s NCAA Tournament. Florida suffered a heartbreaking 73-72 loss to Iowa, while Miami fell 79-69 to Purdue.

Check below for Miami vs. Florida predictions, picks, odds ahead of Monday night’s matchup.

Miami vs. Florida Odds

Florida enters the 2026-27 season as the nation’s top-ranked team and is the favorite at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook over Miami in this neutral-site clash in Tampa:

  • Moneyline: Florida -220, Miami +185
  • Spread: Florida -5.5 (-110), Miami +5.5 (-105)
  • Total: Over 159.5 Points (-105), Under 159.5 Points (-110)
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Miami vs. Florida Predictions

It doesn’t get much better than two nationally ranked Florida programs opening their seasons against each other. Head over to Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook to check out the available basketball betting markets for this matchup, including our Miami vs. Florida prediction below:

Florida vs. Miami Best Bet: Florida -5.5 (-110)

Florida brings back nearly its entire starting lineup from last season, giving the Gators a major advantage in experience and chemistry heading into their season opener.

The Gators were particularly dominant on the glass last year, leading the nation in rebounding margin at +14.6 per game. With Thomas Haugh, Alex Condon, and Rueben Chinyelu all returning, Florida should remain one of the toughest teams in the country to match up with inside.

Miami has plenty of talent of its own, but the Hurricanes will be incorporating several new pieces into their rotation. That could take some time against a Florida team that already has an established core and a ton of experience playing together.

  • Florida vs. Miami Spread Pick for Nov. 2: Florida -5.5 (-110)

Miami vs. Florida Betting Splits

Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet for Monday night’s in-state showdown between the Gators and Hurricanes:

  • Florida is bringing in more of the moneyline support with 65% of wagers and 91% of the dollars.
  • The Gators are also attracting more support on the spread, with 69% of wagers and 67% of the dollars.
  • The Over accounts for 57% of wagers and 55% of the dollars on the total.

Miami vs. Florida Preview for Orion180 Tip-Off Classic

Florida enters the new season with national championship expectations after earning the preseason No. 1 ranking for the first time since 2006. The Gators return four starters and nearly 82% of their scoring from last season, including Haugh, who averaged a team-high 17.1 points per game, Condon, Chinyelu, and Boogie Fland. Florida also welcomes back guard Denzel Aberdeen, who spent last season at Kentucky after helping the Gators win the national championship in 2024-25.

Miami, meanwhile, is coming off an impressive turnaround under head coach Jai Lucas. After winning just seven games in 2024-25, the Hurricanes finished 26-9 last season and earned a No. 7 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Miami returns Malik Reneau, who led the team in scoring last season (18.9 PPG), and Shelton Henderson while adding several notable transfers, including former Villanova guard Acaden Lewis and Georgia center Somto Cyril.

Both programs enter the season with high expectations, and Monday’s opener should provide an early indication of where they stand. Florida has won three straight meetings against Miami, including an 82-68 victory last November, but the Hurricanes will be looking to make a statement against the nation’s top-ranked team.

There’s also an interesting storyline surrounding the venue, as Florida returns to Benchmark International Arena for the first time since its season-ending loss to Iowa in March. The Gators will be hoping for a much different result this time around.

Miami vs. Florida Game Info

  • šŸ“ Where: Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
  • šŸ“… Date: Monday, Nov. 2
  • ā° Tip-Off: 6:00 PM ET
  • šŸ“ŗšŸ’» TV/Streaming: ESPN2

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Referenced odds are subject to change.

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Michael Hennelly

Michael has been an active sports contributor for multiple publications since graduating from Penn State in 2024. While sports play a major role in his life (in the best way), he also enjoys spending time with family and friends. Contact Michael at michael.hennelly at hardrockdigital.com.