We’ve got a loaded Week 10 college football slate, and I’ve got 15 picks across 13 games, including my Blood Bank Pick on Tennessee against Kentucky.
We’ve also got some huge matchups involving Miami and Notre Dame, Alabama and LSU, and Georgia and Ole Miss.
Here’s my full card.
Clay’s Week 10 College Football Picks
- Virginia Tech at SMU: Virginia Tech +6.5
- Nebraska at Illinois: Under 49.5
- BYU at Utah: Under 48.5
- UCLA at Minnesota: Minnesota +5
- Texas at Missouri: Over 44.5
- Texas A&M at South Carolina: Over 51.5
- Oregon at Ohio State: Oregon +7.5
- Oklahoma at Florida: Florida -6.5
- Alabama at LSU: LSU -5
- Vanderbilt at Mississippi State: Under 48.5
- Kentucky at Tennessee: Tennessee -6.5 & Under 50.5
- Georgia at Ole Miss: Ole Miss +3.5 & Under 56.5
- Miami at Notre Dame: Over 57.5
Week 10 Blood Bank Pick: Tennessee -6.5 vs. Kentucky
Tennessee is going to beat Kentucky. I think they’re going to beat Kentucky by a lot.
31-10 is my prediction.
I think the Wildcats are walking into an absolute buzzsaw in Neyland Stadium.
My Blood Bank Pick is Tennessee -6.5 in this game.
Miami at Notre Dame: Over 57.5
I do think it’s significant that Malachi Toney is going to be out for Miami.
This is the first time Miami’s gone back to Notre Dame in a decade.
Many of you will remember, I believe it was on Labor Day weekend last year, Miami won 27-24. It came back to haunt Notre Dame at the end of the season.
Miami ended up going into the College Football Playoff, surprising tons of people. I actually think the College Football Playoff Committee got that correct.
They’re rewarding strength of schedule and head-to-head, and Miami ended up advancing all the way to the national championship game, which was played in Miami, and nearly won that game.
So here’s the problem for Miami.
I think that without Malachi Toney on offense, the Miami defense, which has been very weak in the games against North Carolina and Florida State, will get exposed against Notre Dame.
Tough environment at night.
I like Notre Dame to win this game. The number continues to increase. It’s now out to around seven, given Malachi Toney is not going to play.
I think it’ll be a fun game.
I’ve got the Over, but I feel like Notre Dame gets the win.
Alabama at LSU: LSU -5
Alabama on the road against LSU.
LSU is out to a 5.5-point favorite. First time, and this surprises me, since 2007.
That was Nick Saban’s first year. This is the first time since 2007 that they’re favored.
That’s 19 straight games. I didn’t realize it was this bad for LSU.
Alabama’s won 13 of the last 15 against LSU head-to-head. That is kind of crazy.
Obviously, LSU won the 2019 game, which was the Joe Burrow against Tua game. I was there. Phenomenal No. 1 versus No. 2 game.
And then LSU won 9-6 in Tuscaloosa back in 2011. If I remember correctly, that was Les Miles winning in overtime, 9-6, in the big, huge, incredible game.
I’m getting old. I can’t believe it’s more than 15 years ago that I was down in Tuscaloosa for that 9-6 game LSU ended up winning.
BYU at Utah: Under 48.5
BYU-Utah, 10 a.m. Mountain Time kickoff. That’s a crazy time to be kicking off.
Utah has been a dominant team so far this year. Defense has been elite, only giving up 15.9 points per game.
I’m on the Under in this game.
Devin Dampier is awesome. An incredible playmaker.
Bear Bachmeier has 12 touchdowns, also has seven rushing. Great name, by the way.
Bachmeier reminds me a little bit of those Tim Tebow-era Gator performances. I think Urban Meyer has even made that analogy.
Georgia at Ole Miss: Ole Miss +3.5 & Under 56.5
Georgia got smoked a couple of years ago when they went on the road and played against Ole Miss in Oxford.
Trinidad Chambliss is obviously playing phenomenally. The offensive line is protecting him.
My one concern on Ole Miss is they’re not great all the time against the run, and I think Georgia is just going to lean on them with the run game, which is why I really like the under here.
Gunner Stockton is obviously playing at a very high level. Georgia is incredibly deep.
I would point this stat out, which I was kind of blown away by: in an age of the transfer portal, nearly 92% of Georgia’s roster is homegrown.
Kirby Smart has not gone to the transfer portal as aggressively as a lot of other programs have.
In fact, he has, by and large, gone after the best young talent and then developed it.
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