An NL East matchup is featured on Monday’s MLB slate as the Miami Marlins (52-54) host the Philadelphia Phillies (57-49) for the start of a three-game series at loanDepot park in South Florida. This marks the third of four regular-season meetings between the division rivals, with Philadelphia holding a 5-2 advantage in the season series.
The Phillies have lost three consecutive series since returning from the All-Star break, and the issues that led to the firing of former manager Rob Thomson following the team’s 9-19 start are beginning to resurface. The bullpen has struggled, the No. 5 spot in the starting rotation has been atrocious, and the offense has been far too inconsistent, relying too heavily on the home run for its success. Philadelphia is, however, coming off an 11-4 win over the New York Yankees in Sunday’s series finale that snapped a four-game losing streak, and the Phillies are hoping that victory helps pull them out of their recent funk.
The Marlins were one of baseball’s hottest teams from the start of June, vaulting up the standings and putting themselves back into the National League playoff picture. However, Miami has been in an even bigger rut than Philadelphia lately, entering Monday on a 12-game losing streak and still searching for its first win since the All-Star break.
The Marlins are expected to send right-hander Tyler Phillips to the mound for Monday’s series opener in what will be his 27th appearance and 11th start of the season. The last time Phillips faced Philadelphia, he allowed six hits, three walks, and eight earned runs, including three home runs, over four innings on June 16. The Phillies will counter with veteran right-hander Zack Wheeler, who has been outstanding this season, posting a 10-2 record with a 2.16 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP, and a .186 batting average against through his first 16 starts. Wheeler is 2-0 against Miami this year and has allowed just five hits and one earned run while recording 17 strikeouts over 12 innings.
Phillies vs. Marlins Current Odds
The Phillies are listed as sizable road favorites at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook for Monday’s opener with Wheeler, who has the second-shortest odds (+650) to win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award, taking the mound:
Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions
Monday’s matchup may be between two struggling teams, but both the Phillies and Marlins are in the playoff conversation, offering plenty of intriguing ways to get involved in the baseball betting action at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook. Make sure to check out the Stats Hub, where you can find useful information to help make picks for the game like the one below:
Marlins vs. Phillies Best Bet: Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+105)
Zack Wheeler returned to his dominant form after missing the beginning of the season while recovering from thoracic outlet syndrome. The 36-year-old hasn’t seemed to miss a beat and is firmly in the mix to win his first career Cy Young Award.
Wheeler has allowed two or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 16 starts this season, including one earned run in his first outing against the Marlins on May 1 and six scoreless innings against Miami on June 15. He recorded eight strikeouts in the first matchup and followed that with nine in the second.
While his strikeout total isn’t among the league leaders because he missed the beginning of the season, Wheeler is still averaging more than seven strikeouts per start and has recorded double-digit strikeouts in three of his last four outings, including a 14-strikeout performance against Cincinnati on July 7.
Wheeler has gone over 7.5 strikeouts in each of his last four starts and has eclipsed that mark eight times this season. The Marlins have struck out the sixth-most times in MLB since returning from the All-Star break, making the Over on Wheeler’s strikeout prop at plus money even more appealing.
- Marlins vs. Phillies Player Prop Pick for July 27: Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+105)
Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for PHI-MIA
Kyle Schwarber is no longer MLB’s home run leader after not homering since July 18, but his 33 home runs still rank second in baseball, and his home run prop is generating the second-most action heading into Monday night’s series opener in Miami:
- Griffin Conine – Under 0.5 Hits
- Kyle Schwarber – Over 0.5 Home Runs
- Zack Wheeler – Over 7.5 Strikeouts
- Zack Wheeler – Over 6.5 Strikeouts
- Trea Turner – Over 0.5 Hits
Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Splits
Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet heading into first pitch:
- The Phillies are the clear choice on the moneyline, accounting for 84.9% of bets and 91.4% of the handle.
- Philadelphia is also generating the majority of run-line support with 82.4% of bets and 90.2% of the handle.
- The Over is attracting 68.9% of bets, but the Under is drawing the larger share of the money with 55% of the handle.
Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info
- š Where: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- š Date: Monday, July 27
- ā° First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
- šŗš» TV/Streaming: MLB.TV
- ā¾ Probable Pitchers:
- Phillies: Zack Wheeler
- Marlins: Tyler Phillips
More Ways to Bet
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Referenced odds are subject to change.
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