Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Props, Splits, Picks & Predictions as Miami Goes for Sweep

The Miami Marlins (33-35) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (34-33) in the series finale at loanDepot park in South Florida as one of three games scheduled for a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch to kick off Thursday’s MLB slate.

The Marlins have won the first two games of the series, and their offense has been firing on all cylinders. Miami took the opener 10-6 before shutting out Arizona 8-0 on Wednesday night. The Marlins enter Thursday on a four-game winning streak and have won seven of their last eight games.

The Diamondbacks remain one game above .500 despite playing in a tough NL West that includes the defending back-to-back World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers. Arizona is still firmly in the NL Wild Card race and will turn to veteran right-hander Merrill Kelly, who owns a 5.71 ERA, in an effort to salvage the series. Miami will counter with Tyler Phillips, who is set to make his 19th appearance of the season but just his third start as the Marlins look to complete the sweep.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Current Odds

Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists this afternoon matchup as nearly even, with the Marlins slight favorites on the moneyline and the Diamondbacks favored on the run line:

• Moneyline: Marlins -120, Diamondbacks +100
• Run Line: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+160), Marlins +1.5 (-190)
• Total (Runs): Over 8.5 (-115), Under 8.5 (-105)

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Picks & Predictions for June 11

Check out Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook’s Stats Hub for baseball betting insights and trends heading into Thursday’s afternoon action, including the featured pick below:

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Best Bet: Merrill Kelly Under 4.5 Strikeouts

Merrill Kelly is not enjoying his best season and has not looked like the pitcher he was in previous years. The veteran right-hander owns a career-high 5.71 ERA and allowed seven earned runs in his last start. He has also surrendered five home runs across his last two outings combined.

Kelly has never been known as a high-strikeout pitcher. He has just 37 strikeouts in 58.1 innings this season, averaging 3.7 strikeouts per start. His season high is six strikeouts in a game, and he has gone over 4.5 strikeouts only three times in 10 starts.

The Marlins are relatively disciplined at the plate despite their youth. Miami has the 13th-fewest strikeouts in MLB this season, nearly 100 fewer than the league-leading Los Angeles Angels. While Thursday’s matchup features a different starter, the Marlins have struck out just eight times combined through the first two games of this series.

• Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Player Prop Pick for June 11: Merrill Kelly Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145)

Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for ARI-MIA

Otto López enters Thursday with an MLB-leading .342 batting average and has recorded nine hits in his last 18 at-bats, making his hits prop the most popular selection heading into first pitch:

1. Otto López – To Record 1+ Hits
2. Geraldo Perdomo – Hits Over 0.5
3. Kyle Stowers – Home Runs Over 0.5
4. Corbin Carroll – Hits Over 0.5
5. Xavier Edwards – Hits Over 0.5

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Betting Splits

Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet as Miami goes for the sweep:

• The Marlins are generating most of the moneyline support with 66.28% of bets and 72.69% of the handle.
• Miami is also drawing strong run line support with 75.53% of bets and 73.4% of the handle.
• The Over is the clear favorite on the total with 64.06% of bets and 85.18% of the handle.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Game Info

• 📍 Where: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
• 📅 Date: Thursday, June 11
• ⏰ First Pitch: 1:10 PM ET
• 📺💻 TV/Streaming: MLB.TV
• ⚾ Probable Pitchers:
  • Diamondbacks: Merrill Kelly
  • Marlins: Tyler Phillips

More Ways to Bet

One swing can cash your ticket, but until then, Florida players can keep things interesting with Real Money Games powered by Past Motor Racing, only on Hard Rock Bet. It’s another way to stay engaged between plate appearances.

Referenced odds are subject to change.