The 2026 World Cup knockout rounds continue on Tuesday as France and Sweden square off at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
While France enters this match as the tournament favorite (+250) with heavy odds to advance (-1000), the knockout stage has already delivered one stunning upset after Paraguay eliminated Germany in a penalty shootout on Monday evening. What many expected to be a blockbuster Round of 16 meeting between France and Germany is now off the table, as the winner of Tuesday’s match will instead face Paraguay on July 4 at 5:00 p.m. ET at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia with a place in the quarterfinals on the line.
France cruised through Group I with a perfect 3-0-0 record, scoring at least three goals in each of its three matches. Les Bleus capped off group play with a dominant 4-1 victory over Norway, powered by a hat trick from Ousmane Dembélé in the game’s first 31 minutes, and now enter the knockout rounds looking like the team to beat in this tournament.
Sweden, meanwhile, earned its place in the knockout stage after battling through a difficult Group F. Despite suffering a lopsided 5-1 defeat to the Netherlands during group play, the Swedes did enough to secure a spot in the Round of 32 and now face their toughest challenge yet against arguably the deepest and most talented squad on the planet.
France vs. Sweden Odds Today
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook has France listed as a sizable favorite entering Tuesday’s Round of 32 showdown. Below is a look at the latest odds for both the result in regulation and either team to advance.
3-Way Moneyline Odds
The 3-way moneyline allows players to wager on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Since this market is settled at the end of regulation, any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout do not count toward the final result.
- 🇫🇷 France (-375)
- 🤝 Draw (+475)
- 🇸🇪 Sweden (+1000)
Odds to Advance
If you’re more interested in picking the team that will move on regardless of how long the match lasts, the To Advance market is the better option. This market includes regulation, extra time and penalties, meaning your bet cashes if your selected team reaches the next round by any method.
- 🇫🇷 France (-1000)
- 🇸🇪 Sweden (+575)
Referenced odds subject to change.
France vs. Sweden Best Bet
Looking for more betting insights? Hard Rock Bet’s Stats Hub features matchup trends, team streaks and other key data to help break down every match throughout the 2026 World Cup. Here’s our top play for France vs. Sweden via Stats Hub:
Kylian Mbappé Anytime Goalscorer (-155): Mbappé has found the back of the net in seven of France’s last eight World Cup matches, including qualifiers. The lone exception came in France’s most recent match, largely because Ousmane Dembélé erupted for a first-half hat trick in a 4-1 victory over Norway’s B team. Even without scoring, Mbappé remained heavily involved in the attack, recording two assists while helping Les Bleus cruise to the win. Now facing a Swedish defense that surrendered five goals to the Netherlands during the group stage, France’s superstar is well positioned to get back on the scoresheet and help send Les Bleus into the next round.
Betting Splits at Hard Rock Bet
Here’s where Hard Rock Bet players stand ahead of Tuesday’s Round of 32 matchup:
3-Way Moneyline
- France: Nearly all of the betting action is on Les Bleus, who have attracted 92.84% of all tickets and 96.78% of the money to win in regulation.
- Sweden: The Swedes have accounted for 4.79% of all bets placed on the 3-way moneyline and 2.12% of the total handle.
- Draw: The draw has pulled in 2.36% of all wagers and 1.11% of the money.
To Advance
- France: Players are unsurprisingly all over France to move on, with 92.49% of all tickets and an overwhelming 99.72% of the handle backing Didier Deschamps’ side to reach the Round of 16.
- Sweden: Sweden has received 7.51% of bets and a minuscule 0.28% of the handle to pull off the upset and advance.
Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props
France’s superstar duo up top are dominating the player prop market ahead of this one:
- Kylian Mbappé – Anytime Goalscorer
- Kylian Mbappé – Over 0.5 Shots on Target
- Ousmane Dembélé – Over 0.5 Shots on Target
- Kylian Mbappé – To Score 2+ Goals
- Kylian Mbappé – To Score or Assist
Updated World Cup Odds
With the knockout rounds underway and Germany now out of the picture, France has moved down to +250 and stands alone as the favorite to win the 2026 World Cup. Les Bleus have looked every bit the part through the opening stage of the tournament and enter Tuesday’s match as the main team to beat.
Sweden, meanwhile, sits as one of the tournament’s biggest longshots. While the Swedes have already met expectations by reaching the knockout stage, they’ll need their best performance of the tournament against France to keep their World Cup dreams alive.
- France to win the World Cup: +250
- Sweden to win the World Cup: +25000
Referenced odds subject to change.
France vs. Sweden Match Info
- 📍 Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA
- 📅 Date: Tuesday, June 30
- ⏰ Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
- 📺 TV/Streaming: FOX, Tele FOX, FOX One
- 🏆 Next match for winner: Paraguay | July 4 | 5:00 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
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