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While everybody spent last season dancing on the Chiefs’ grave, there’s already a sense that people are circling back to Kansas City heading into this year. Funny how that works. The second the Chiefs finally look vulnerable, everyone remembers Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid still exist.

So with Hard Rock Bet posting a bunch of Chiefs futures for the upcoming season, we figured we’d break down which bets actually feel worth it.

Chiefs to Make the Playoffs (-230)

Let’s start with the obvious one.

Yes, the Chiefs to make the playoffs at -230 feels expensive, but that’s because sportsbooks still expect Kansas City to be Kansas City.

Negative odds typically mean, “This is probably going to happen, so you’re not getting rich off it.”

And honestly? Fair enough.

Even after a disappointing year, Patrick Mahomes is still Patrick Mahomes. Andy Reid is still Andy Reid. It’s hard to imagine this team completely falling apart two years in a row.

Chiefs to Win the AFC West (+165)

Now this is where things get interesting.

If there’s one Chiefs future that actually feels like value, it’s Kansas City to win the AFC West at +165.

This is still a team that dominated the division for basically a decade before finally slipping last season. Sometimes teams need a reset year. Sometimes getting bounced early, combined with the Mahomes injury, is enough to give a team the wake-up moment it needs.

And let’s be real: people love to hate on the Chiefs until they remember who the quarterback is.

You’re still betting on No. 15 and Andy Reid. Getting +165 with that combo feels pretty nice.

Patrick Mahomes MVP (+1500)

Mahomes at +1500 for MVP almost feels weirdly low for someone of his caliber, even with the injury concerns.

At this point, Mahomes kind of has the LeBron problem. Unless he completely breaks football for an entire season, people almost expect greatness from him.

Still, if the Chiefs bounce back in a major way, he’ll absolutely be in the conversation.

Andy Reid Coach of the Year (+5000)

This one sounds fun until you think about how Coach of the Year voting actually works.

Andy Reid is already universally acknowledged as one of the greatest coaches ever. The award usually goes to someone who “surprised” people or turned around a struggling team.

As long as Patrick Mahomes is his quarterback, voters are probably going to look at Kansas City’s success and go, “Well… yeah.”

At 50-1, it’s a fun longshot, but probably not something we’d seriously touch.

A Quick Betting Odds Explanation for Beginners

One of the funniest parts of this whole conversation was realizing how confusing betting odds sound when you first hear them.

So here’s the simplest explanation possible:

  • Negative odds = the outcome is considered more likely
  • Positive odds = the outcome is less likely, but pays more if it hits

So if something is -230 like Chiefs to make the playoffs, sportsbooks are basically saying, “This is more likely to happen, so the payout isn’t going to be huge.”

If something is +5000, they’re saying, “Good luck – if this miracle happens, you’ll make a ton of money.”

Most normal game odds sit somewhere around -110 because sportsbooks view the matchup as relatively even.

If sportsbooks ever posted “Patrick Mahomes to complete a pass next season,” the odds would probably be negative nine zillion.

Sophie to start at quarterback for the Chiefs, on the other hand, would definitely be on the opposite end of the spectrum.

Best Chiefs Future Bet?

If we had to pick one?

Chiefs to win the AFC West at +165 feels like the best value.

Until proven otherwise, betting against Mahomes and Reid usually ends badly.

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West Wilson

West Wilson is a college football analyst and media personality known for his bold opinions and quick wit. He co-hosts Show Me Something on The Volume, where he teams up with WNBA star Sophie Cunningham to deliver sharp, entertaining takes on the biggest stories in sports.