Rays vs. Marlins Odds, Props, Picks & Predictions for Citrus Series Opener

The second and final edition of the 2026 Citrus Series begins Friday night in Miami in the Battle of Florida. The Tampa Bay Rays (36-23) travel south to take on the Miami Marlins (29-34) in the opener of a three-game set at loanDepot park.

Although the Rays remain one of the best teams in MLB by record, Tampa Bay enters Friday after being swept in three games by the Detroit Tigers and has lost eight of its last 10 games. The Marlins, meanwhile, ride into the series on a three-game winning streak after sweeping their NL East rival Washington Nationals earlier this week.

These teams last met during MLB Rivalry Weekend in May, when the Rays won the series 2-1. Drew Rasmussen is scheduled to start for Tampa Bay and picked up the win in that series after allowing two earned runs across 5.1 innings.

Ryan Gusto is expected to make his first start of the season for Miami after allowing three earned runs in two innings during his most recent relief appearance. Tyler Phillips, who allowed three earned runs across five innings in a start on May 30, is also expected to pitch Friday night in what could be a piggyback situation.

Rays vs. Marlins Current Odds

Even after getting swept by Detroit earlier this week, the Rays are the better team on paper and enter Friday night as road favorites at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook:

• Moneyline: Rays -140, Marlins +115
• Run Line: Rays -1.5 (+125), Marlins +1.5 (-145)
• Total (Runs): Over 7.5 (-120), Under 7.5 (+100)

Rays vs. Marlins Picks & Predictions for June 5

Don’t miss out on the Battle of Florida to kick off the weekend. Head over to Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook and check out the Stats Hub for baseball betting trends and insights surrounding the Rays and Marlins.

Below is a featured pick from the Stats Hub for Friday night’s series opener:

Rays vs. Marlins Best Bet: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Runs

Junior Caminero enters Friday riding a six-game hitting streak after batting .305 with a .431 on-base percentage in May. He has also scored at least one run in four of the six games during his current streak.

Caminero’s 38 runs scored are tied for the 10th-most in MLB this season, and he recently crossed the plate three times in a single game against Detroit. The 22-year-old scored a run in two of the three games the last time these teams met.

If Miami uses both Gusto and Phillips on Friday night, Caminero could be in a favorable position to score. Both pitchers allowed three earned runs in their most recent appearances.

• Rays vs. Marlins Player Prop Pick for June 5: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Runs (+100)

Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for TB-MIA

The Rays are generating the majority of the action in player prop markets, particularly All-Star third baseman Junior Caminero:

1. Junior Caminero – Hits Over 0.5
2. Jonathan Aranda – Home Runs Over 0.5
3. Junior Caminero – Home Runs Over 0.5
4. Xavier Edwards – Hits Over 0.5
5. Yandy Díaz – To Record 1+ Hits

Rays vs. Marlins Betting Splits

Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet heading into first pitch:

• The Rays are drawing the majority of moneyline action with 75% of bets and 88.5% of the handle.
• Tampa Bay is also attracting most of the run line action with 57.2% of bets and 76.1% of the handle.
• The Over is the popular play on the total, bringing in 74.8% of bets and 83.4% of the handle.

Rays vs. Marlins Game Info

• 📍 Where: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
• 📅 Date: Friday, June 5
• ⏰ First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
• 📺💻 TV/Streaming: MLB.TV
• ⚾ Probable Pitchers:
  • Rays: Drew Rasmussen
  • Marlins: Ryan Gusto

More Ways to Bet

One swing can cash your ticket, but until then, Florida players can keep things interesting with Real Money Games powered by Past Motor Racing, only on Hard Rock Bet. It’s another way to stay engaged between plate appearances.

Referenced odds are subject to change.