Game 2 of a three-game set between NL East rivals takes place on Tuesday’s MLB slate as the Miami Marlins (53-54) host the Philadelphia Phillies (57-50) at loanDepot park in South Florida. The Marlins won Monday’s series opener 8-7 in what was a much-needed victory moving forward.
The Marlins entered Monday’s opener riding a franchise-record 12-game losing streak but finally broke through in dramatic fashion. After falling behind 2-0 in the first inning, Miami answered immediately behind Heriberto Hernández’s team-leading 15th home run and built an early 5-2 lead. The Phillies battled back to take a 7-5 advantage into the ninth, but Miami rallied for three runs against All-Star closer Jhoan Duran, with Griffin Conine delivering the walk-off RBI single to complete the comeback and snap the losing streak.
Tuesday night’s matchup features a pair of veteran right-handers as Phillies starter Aaron Nola is set to take his 3-8 record and 5.82 ERA to the mound against Marlins starter Sandy Alcántara, who is 10-6 with a 4.01 ERA this season. Both pitchers have enjoyed plenty of success throughout their careers, but each has looked like a shell of his former self over the past few seasons as they continue to age.
Phillies vs. Marlins Current Odds
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists Tuesday night’s matchup as a pick’em on the moneyline, with the Phillies favored on the run line:
- Moneyline: Phillies -110, Marlins -110
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+155), Marlins +1.5 (-190)
- Total (Runs): Over 8.5 (+100), Under 8.5 (-120)
Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions
Despite both teams struggling coming into the series, Monday night’s matchup delivered an exciting result, so don’t miss out on the chance to get in on the action at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook on Tuesday. Check out the Stats Hub for baseball betting insights and trends to help make picks for the game like the one below:
Marlins vs. Phillies Best Bet: Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375)
No Marlins player has more than 15 home runs this season, but Kyle Stowers’ 13 are the third-most on the team. The left-handed-hitting outfielder has hit five home runs in July, including a solo shot in Sunday’s series finale loss to San Diego.
Stowers and Miami’s offense now face a favorable matchup Tuesday night against Aaron Nola, who has allowed 25 home runs this season, tied for the second-most in MLB. Nola has surrendered at least one home run in each of his last three starts, including three against the New York Mets on July 16 and two against the Los Angeles Dodgers in his previous outing on July 22. He has allowed at least one home run in 15 of his 21 starts this season and multiple home runs in nine of those outings.
Nola did pitch well in his lone start against the Marlins earlier this season, tossing six scoreless innings in a win at loanDepot park. He’s also had success against Stowers in their limited head-to-head matchups, holding him to a .167 batting average with no home runs.
That doesn’t change the fact that Stowers is batting .252 with 12 of his 13 home runs against right-handed pitching this season, while left-handed hitters are batting .279 with 15 home runs against Nola this year.
- Marlins vs. Phillies Player Prop Pick for July 28: Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375)
Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for PHI-MIA
Kyle Schwarber’s home run prop continues to be a popular target despite hitting only three home runs in July and going homerless since July 18:
- Kyle Schwarber – Over 0.5 Home Runs
- Bryce Harper – Over 0.5 Hits
- Otto López – To Record 1+ Hits
- Xavier Edwards – Over 0.5 Hits
- Alec Bohm – Over 0.5 Hits
Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Splits
Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet for Tuesday’s matchup in Miami:
- The Phillies are drawing more support on the moneyline with 61.77% of bets and 65.9% of the handle.
- The Marlins are seeing slightly more action on the run line with 55.43% of bets, but the Phillies are attracting the larger share of the money with 71.76% of the handle.
- The Over is the preferred play on the total with 70.45% of bets and 75.53% of the handle.
Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info
- 📍 Where: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- 📅 Date: Tuesday, July 28
- ⏰ First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
- 📺💻 TV/Streaming: MLB.TV
- ⚾ Probable Pitchers:
- Phillies: Aaron Nola
- Marlins: Sandy Alcántara
More Ways to Bet
One swing can cash your ticket, but until then, Florida players can keep things interesting with Real Money Games powered by Past Motor Racing, only on Hard Rock Bet. It’s another way to stay engaged between plate appearances.
Referenced odds are subject to change.
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