The New York Mets and New York Yankees begin a three-game set tonight at Yankee Stadium, marking the second and final Subway Series of the 2026 season. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
The Yankees enter the weekend in the thick of a division race and carry some momentum into the Subway Series after sweeping the Colorado Rockies, pulling within three games of the Tampa Bay Rays in the American League East. Aaron Judge is also back in the mix after a lengthy absence, adding another major piece to the lineup as New York begins its final stretch of the regular season.
The Mets arrive in the Bronx playing some of their best baseball of the year. They completed a three-game sweep of the Miami Marlins earlier this week and have now won four straight games and three consecutive series. New York is also 21-12 since selling at the trade deadline, an impressive turnaround for a team that spent much of the season near the bottom of the NL East.
Nolan McLean will make his first career Subway Series start for the Mets. The right-hander has been one of New York’s most dependable starters this season, entering Friday with an 11-8 record, 3.06 ERA and 179 strikeouts.
The Yankees counter with Carlos Rodón, who is 5-3 with a 3.09 ERA. The left-hander recently returned from the injured list and delivered five innings of one-run baseball in his most recent outing against the Padres, earning his first victory since coming back.
Mets vs. Yankees Odds Today
The Yankees are moderate home favorites for Friday night’s series opener:
Best Bet for Mets vs. Yankees
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook’s Stats Hub provides trends, streaks and additional data for every game on the MLB schedule. A.J. Ewing‘s September surge and favorable matchup against a left-handed starter lead us to Friday’s featured play:
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Total Bases (+200): Ewing endured a difficult August at the plate, but the start of September has brought a sharp turnaround. The outfielder is 11-26 this month, good for a .423 batting average, while adding two doubles and a home run with a .615 slugging percentage and 1.082 OPS.
Ewing has now cleared 1.5 total bases in each of his last five games, including a three-hit performance in the Mets’ series finale against Miami on Wednesday.
Friday’s pitching matchup offers another reason to back the strong recent form. Ewing has performed better against left-handed pitching this season, batting .263 with a .336 on-base percentage and .394 slugging percentage in 99 at-bats against lefties. Against right-handed pitching, those numbers fall to a .248 average, .316 OBP and .362 slugging percentage.
Rodón gives Ewing another left-handed matchup in the series opener. With Ewing hitting this mark in five straight games, swinging one of the hottest bats in the Mets’ lineup and carrying stronger numbers against lefties, Over 1.5 Total Bases (+200) is our best bet for Friday night.
- Best Bet: A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Mets vs. Yankees Betting Splits
Hard Rock Bet players are backing the Yankees across the board:
- The Yankees have drawn 75.3% of all moneyline tickets and 76.0% of the handle.
- Yankees -1.5 accounts for 60.9% of run line tickets and 88.7% of the money.
- Under 8.5 has only a narrow edge with 50.6% of total wagers, yet those bets represent 94.1% of the handle.
Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props
Judge appears twice among Friday night’s most-bet player props:
- Aaron Judge – Over 0.5 Home Runs
- Luis Garcia Jr. – Over 0.5 Hits
- Aaron Judge – Over 0.5 Hits
- Bo Bichette – Over 0.5 Hits
- Juan Soto – Over 0.5 Hits
Mets vs. Yankees Game Info
- 📍 Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
- 📅 Date: Friday, September 11
- ⏰ First Pitch: 7:05 PM ET
- ⚾ Probable Pitchers:
- Mets: Nolan McLean (11-8, 3.06 ERA)
- Yankees: Carlos Rodón (5-3, 3.09 ERA)
More Ways to Bet
One swing can cash your ticket, but until then, Florida players can keep things interesting with Real Money Games powered by Past Motor Racing, only on Hard Rock Bet. It’s another way to stay engaged between plate appearances.
Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in FL. Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital, LLC, in all other states. Must be 21+ and physically present in AZ, CO, FL, IL, IN, MI, NJ, OH, TN or VA to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling? In FL, call 1-833-PLAYWISE. In IN, if you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9-WITH-IT. In AZ, OH, & VA, call 1-800-MY-RESET.
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1‑800‑GAMBLER (CO, IL, MI, NJ, TN)
