One of college basketball‘s biggest in-state rivalries takes center stage Tuesday night as the No. 1 Florida Gators (2-0) travel to Tallahassee to face the Florida State Seminoles (2-0) in the Sunshine Showdown.
Both teams have gotten off to strong starts, with Florida coming off a dominant win over Jacksonville and Florida State cruising past Troy in its home opener. The Gators will look to extend their five-game winning streak against the Seminoles, who are hoping to knock off the nation’s top-ranked team on their home floor.
See Florida vs. Florida State predictions, picks, and odds below ahead of Tuesday night’s matchup at the Tucker Center.
Florida vs. Florida State Odds
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists Florida as the road favorite, with both teams looking to remain undefeated early in the 2026-27 season:
Florida vs. Florida State Predictions
Tuesday’s in-state showdown offers plenty of storylines, with both teams entering undefeated and Florida sitting atop the national rankings. Explore the available basketball betting markets at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook, including our Florida vs. Florida State prediction below:
Florida State vs. Florida Best Bet: Florida State +9.5 (-110)
Florida has looked impressive through its first two games, opening the season with a 77-67 win over then-No. 14 Miami before blowing out Jacksonville 88-57 this past Thursday. Rueben Chinyelu led the Gators with a career-high 21 points against Jacksonville, while Alex Condon nearly recorded a triple-double with 12 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists.
However, Florida State has been just as impressive offensively, averaging 101.5 points per game through its first two contests. The Seminoles followed up a 112-69 win over Florida A&M with a 91-68 victory over Troy this past Friday, highlighted by 20 points, seven rebounds, and six assists from Shon Abaev.
Florida has the more established roster and deserves to be favored, but the Seminoles have enough offensive firepower to keep things competitive, especially playing in front of their home crowd. Florida State also lost by just two points to the Gators last season.
- Florida vs. Florida State Spread Pick for Nov. 10: Florida State +9.5 (-110)
Florida vs. Florida State Betting Splits
Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet for Tuesday night’s game between the Gators and Seminoles:
- Florida State is seeing a lot of action on the moneyline with 77% of bets, but Florida is drawing 55% of the dollars.
- The action on the spread is nearly split, with the Seminoles attracting 57% of bets and 58% of the dollars.
- The Over accounts for more of the action on the total, with 67% of bets and 71% of the dollars.
Florida vs. Florida State Preview for Sunshine Showdown
Florida enters Tuesday’s rivalry matchup ranked No. 1 in the country and coming off a convincing 31-point victory over Jacksonville. The Gators have been led by their returning frontcourt trio of Thomas Haugh, Chinyelu, and Condon, with Haugh averaging a team-high 16.5 points per game. Florida has also been shooting the ball well from deep, connecting on 43.1% of its three-point attempts through two games.
Florida State, meanwhile, has been one of the nation’s highest-scoring teams early in the season under second-year head coach Luke Loucks. Colorado transfer Sebastian Rancik leads the Seminoles with 21.5 points per game, while freshman center Marcis Ponder has recorded double-doubles in both games. Florida State has also been dominant on the glass, outrebounding its first two opponents by a combined 42 rebounds.
The Gators have had the upper hand in this rivalry recently, winning five straight meetings against the Seminoles. However, last year’s matchup was much closer than expected, with Florida escaping Gainesville with a 78-76 victory after Florida State nearly erased a nine-point deficit in the final eight minutes.
Tuesday’s game should provide an early test for both programs, particularly Florida State, which has yet to face a nationally ranked opponent this season. The Seminoles will look to take advantage of playing at home, while the Gators hope to continue their strong start and extend their winning streak in the Sunshine Showdown.
Florida vs. Florida State Game Info
- š Where: Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
- š Date: Tuesday, Nov. 10
- ā° Tip-Off: 6:00 PM ET
- šŗš» TV/Streaming: ESPN2
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Referenced odds are subject to change.
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