The Miami Marlins (58-55) make their way to Atlanta to take on their NL East rival Braves (67-45) Tuesday night for the opener of a three-game series at Truist Park. Atlanta holds a 5-2 edge in the season series, and the two teams will meet one final time for a three-game set in Miami to close out the regular season.
The Braves have been one of the top teams in MLB and have held first place in the NL East for nearly the entire season. It’s been a bounce-back year for Atlanta after finishing fourth in the division in 2025 and 10 games below .500 in what was an injury-riddled campaign. The Braves enter Tuesday with a 7.5-game lead over Philadelphia in the NL East and are riding a five-game winning streak, including a four-game sweep of Washington.
The Marlins have been one of the surprise teams of the 2026 season, featuring one of the youngest rosters in baseball while entering Tuesday three games above .500 and just two games out of a National League Wild Card spot. Miami went 26-8 from June 1 through July 9 before enduring a franchise-worst 12-game losing streak. However, the Marlins have turned things around since then, winning six of their last seven games heading into this series against Atlanta.
The Marlins are expected to hand the ball to Ryan Gusto on Tuesday night for his 14th appearance of the season and ninth start. The right-hander allowed nine hits, two walks, and six earned runs over five innings in his last outing against Philadelphia and is 0-2 with a 5.76 ERA as a starter this season. The Braves will counter with Grant Holmes, who is 6-4 with a 3.88 ERA this year.
Marlins vs. Braves Current Odds
The Braves are listed as home favorites at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook:
- Moneyline: Braves -140, Marlins +130
- Run Line: Braves -1.5 (+145), Marlins +1.5 (-155)
- Total (Runs): Over 9.5 (+115), Under 9.5 (-125)
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Marlins vs. Braves Predictions
The Braves may be building a sizable lead in the NL East, but the Marlins could very well make the playoffs as a Wild Card team, so there are plenty of intriguing baseball betting options at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook for Tuesday night’s series opener. Make sure to check out the Stats Hub to help make more informed wagers like the one below:
Braves vs. Marlins Best Bet: Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Matt Olson is one of the top hitters in the majors and, in turn, owns the fourth-shortest odds (+7500) to win the 2026 National League MVP Award at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook. The All-Star first baseman had a relatively quiet month of July but is currently riding a three-game hitting streak, batting .455 during that span with a solo home run in each game.
There are multiple props worth considering for Olson, whether it’s his hits, runs, or RBIs prop, but for Tuesday night we’re targeting his total bases prop. Olson has recorded four or more total bases in each of his last three games thanks in large part to his three consecutive home runs, but he also doubled during that stretch and posted two multi-hit performances.
The other factor is that Marlins right-hander Ryan Gusto is coming off a poor start in his last outing and has typically pitched between three and five innings whenever he’s started this season. While he hasn’t faced Olson or the Braves this year, Gusto is allowing a .293 batting average to left-handed hitters. On the other side, Olson is batting .264 with 15 doubles, 20 home runs, and a .920 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2026. Olson is also 2-for-5 with a home run in his career against Gusto.
- Braves vs. Marlins Player Prop Pick for Aug. 4: Matt Olson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for MIA-ATL
Olson is a popular target in the player prop markets, owning three of the top five most-bet player props heading into first pitch:
- Matt Olson – Over 0.5 Home Runs
- Otto López – Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
- Matt Olson – Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI
- Matt Olson – Over 0.5 Hits
- Kyle Stowers – Over 0.5 Home Runs
Marlins vs. Braves Betting Splits
Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet for Tuesday night’s NL East clash at Truist Park:
- The Braves have the stronger moneyline support with 82.7% of bets and 90.5% of the handle.
- Atlanta also accounts for more of the run-line action with 62.6% of bets and 86.8% of the handle.
- The Under is attracting more action on the total with 68.7% of bets and 67.5% of the handle.
Marlins vs. Braves Game Info
- 📍 Where: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- 📅 Date: Tuesday, Aug. 4
- ⏰ First Pitch: 7:15 PM ET
- 📺💻 TV/Streaming: MLB.TV
- ⚾ Probable Pitchers:
- Marlins: Ryan Gusto
- Braves: Grant Holmes
More Ways to Bet
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Referenced odds are subject to change.
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