NFL Week 11 had everything: coaching blunders, redemption arcs, playoff clarity, and a few quarterbacks who melted like snowmen under pressure. Let’s break it all down.
Lions at Eagles
Dan Campbell finally crossed the line from fearless to reckless. Fourth downs piled up like parking tickets, and each one cost Detroit more momentum. Jared Goff, bundled in two gloves and bad decisions, looked frozen in every sense. Philly’s offense was an eyesore, but Vic Fangio’s defense? Terrifying. Jaelan Phillips and the rest of that front seven are monsters – the Eagles have quietly flipped identities from juggernaut offense to sledgehammer defense. And if that unit keeps playing like this, they can win ugly all the way into January.
Seahawks at Rams
Sam Darnold’s “I’m back” campaign hit the wall – hard. Four picks, each uglier than the last, erased a brilliant defensive effort from Mike Macdonald’s group. You could feel the tension: big stage, division on the line, and Darnold blinked. Sean McVay and the Rams smelled blood, attacked his tendencies, and made him see ghosts again. Seattle’s roster is loaded, their scheme sound, but this was a gut-check loss that screamed: they’ll only go as far as their quarterback can take them.
Broncos at Chiefs
Statement win. That’s what this was for Sean Payton and Bo Nix. The young QB looked poised, calm, and unbothered by it all – a far cry from the jittery version we saw two weeks ago. Denver’s defense? Ruthless. They’re on pace to break sack records and break opponents’ will. Kansas City fought hard, but you could feel the tide turn: the Broncos are the best team in football right now. From 1-2 to 9-2 heading into the bye, they’ve gone from punchline to powerhouse. This team looks like it’s hunting the AFC’s top seed.
Bears at Vikings
Ben Johnson is cooking, and Chicago’s finally got juice again. Caleb Williams is chaotic – misses wide-open reads, then spins out of a sack and fires a 40-yard missile that only he sees. The Bears are wild, undisciplined, and alive. Meanwhile, Kevin O’Connell’s Vikings keep trying to force-feed a pass-happy plan to a quarterback who can’t swim in deep water yet. JJ McCarthy’s raw, nervous, and clearly miscast in this system. Chicago’s staff is maximizing its kid. Minnesota’s is exposing theirs.
Cowboys at Raiders: MNF Prediction
Vegas on a Monday night always feels like a trap, and this one reeks of it. Dallas has the better roster, the better quarterback, and the hotter offense, but the Raiders are due for one of those “how did they win that?” primetime games. The Cowboys’ defense has leaked oil for weeks, and Ashton Jeanty could be the one to rip them open. Still, expect fireworks: Dak and CeeDee Lamb will get theirs, but so will Vegas’ ground game.
The Pick: Raiders +3
Parlay: Ashton Jeanty Anytime TD, CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD, Raiders +3. +600.
This one smells like a 27-26 nail-biter under the Vegas lights.
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