Last week was about trusting great quarterbacks. This week, I’m doing the opposite: leaning into grimy value with some of the NFL’s worst quarterback situations. 1) Titans +7 at Patriots I swore I wouldn’t bet Tennessee again as long as…
Every sharp we know says the same thing: this has been the dream season to bet like a contrarian. Underdogs are printing money, the public is getting crushed, and the books are feasting. And that means it’s our kind of…
I want to circle back to the Chiefs for one reason: the league MVP race is quietly becoming a two-man conversation—Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes—and Hard Rock Bet just built a market that reflects it perfectly. Hard Rock is offering…
We’ve got a little something special this week — shoutout to our friends at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook for the NFL odds — because I wanted to give you a quick peek inside my brain before Sunday hits. The Kansas…
Nearly halfway through the NFL season, the board is finally coming into focus. Lines are sharper, the public’s biases are clearer, and the best opportunities lie in the ugly games no one wants to touch. Betting the NFL isn’t about…
We’ve got two Monday night games this week — Bills vs. Falcons and Bears vs. Commanders — and both have a little more drama than the lines might suggest. All NFL odds and lines come courtesy of our partners at…
One of the things I love about doing this show with John Middlekauff is that we see the football differently — and we’re both convinced we’re right. That’s good radio. This week, we got into it over Washington versus Chicago…
If you’ve been watching the NFL this season, one thing should be obvious: it’s wide freaking open. I’m not sure I can remember a year where the difference between a top team and a mid-tier one has been smaller. Between…
This week, I’m doing something I’ve never done before. It’s time to shake the snow globe and get the mojo back. I’m breaking all my usual gambling rules and going all-in on a new philosophy — only bet on quarterbacks…
Every NFL week has its character. Some are clear, confident, and clean - where the lines tell the truth and the data hums in perfect sync with instinct. Week 6 isn’t that. Week 6 is chaos disguised as opportunity. It’s…
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