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France's Kylian Mbappe looks dejected after the match as France are eliminated from the World Cup.

France and England meet in the World Cup Bronze Final at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, July 18 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, with both nursing gut-punch semifinal exits (to Spain and Argentina, respectively, who will meet in Sunday’s final).

Our team is making picks for the main betting markets separately, so I’ll work the rest of the board and dig into fun prop bets. All odds are from Hard Rock Bet and are subject to change.

Star props: Who’s playing for something?

The player props below are priced as if these guys start and play real minutes. In a Bronze Final, that’s not a given, so check the lineups before kickoff. The good news is that the soccer stars who do play, especially one with a Golden Boot on the line, tend to let it fly. Start with shots and shots on target.

  • 🎯 Kylian Mbappé Over 2.5 Shots on Target: +150
  • 🎯 Harry Kane Over 1.5 Shots on Target: +130
  • 🎯 Jude Bellingham Over 1.5 Shots on Target: +260
  • ⚽ Kylian Mbappé Over 4.5 Shots: +105
  • ⚽ Harry Kane Over 3.5 Shots: +140
  • ⚽ Michael Olise Over 2.5 Shots: +125

If you want to bet the teams head to head, France are -175 to record the most shots on target, with England the underdogs at +165.

Then there are the keepers. A loose, end-of-tournament game with two attack-heavy squads could mean shots on target pile up. The market has the save total higher here than it did for the semifinals.

  • 🧤 Total Goalkeeper Saves Over 5.5: -250
  • 🧤 Total Goalkeeper Saves Over 6.5: -135
  • 🧤 Total Goalkeeper Saves Over 7.5: +130

France also lead as the side more likely to win the corner count.

  • 🚩 France Most Corners: -160
    🚩 Total Corners Over 9.5: +100

My pick: Kylian Mbappé Over 2.5 Shots on Target (+150)

If France hand one player the keys in a game like this, it’s Kylian Mbappé, due to the Golden Boot chase. He’s tied with Messi for the tournament lead in goals with eight, so France have every reason to set him up for success.

Mbappé has piled up 19 shots on target in seven games at this World Cup, good for 2.71 per match, which lands this line right on his average, and getting plus money on the most dangerous finisher on the field is too good to pass up. The only box to check is the lineup: make sure he’s starting before you bet it.

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Novelty props worth checking out

Here’s the fun part. Here are some lesser-known markets to look at:

  • ⭐ Kylian Mbappé to Score 2+ Goals: +300
  • 🎩 Kylian Mbappé to Score From Outside the Box: +375
  • 🗣️ Harry Kane to Score a Header: +500
  • 💪 France Win & Keep Clean Sheet: +300
  • 💪 England Win & Keep Clean Sheet: +600
  • ⏱️ Goal Scored in Both Halves, No: +170
  • 🛡️ Match Result, 2 Up (France): -135
  • 🛡️ Match Result, 2 Up (England): +220

Quick note on that last one: the 2 Up market cashes the moment your team goes two goals up at any point, even if the final result changes later.

My pick: Harry Kane to Score a Header (+500)

This is a dark horse pick, so treat it like a longshot. Kane is one of the better aerial threats in this tournament. If England are going to manufacture a goal in a game like this, a Kane header seems like a solid bet. At +500 it seems worth a fun play.

All referenced odds are subject to change.

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Wes Roesch

Wes Roesch has been a full-time writer and editor covering sports since 2015 and the casino industry since 2022. His work has appeared on platforms like Gambling.com, Sportsbook Wire, Chiefs Wire, and A to Z Sports. At Hard Rock Bet, Wes primarily produces accurate, approachable casino guides and reports on the latest industry news. He also contributes to Hard Rock's sports betting analysis, occasionally covering picks and the latest odds trends. A Kansas City native, he holds degrees from the University of Missouri School of Journalism and UMKC’s MFA program.