Happy Monday! We have an NFC East battle to close out the NFL slate as the Eagles host the Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field. This is a sneaky game to hunt for some NFL touchdown picks!
Philadelphia is missing plenty of bodies, but Dallas has not exactly been shutting people down. The Eagles may be shorthanded, but this defense gives them a chance to put together scoring drives without their full offensive arsenal.
I’m looking at two longer shots with interesting goal-line angles, plus an established veteran who could become a focal point of Philadelphia’s passing game.
Let’s get into my favorite touchdown picks for Monday night at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook.
The Best Cowboys vs. Eagles Touchdown Props for MNF
- Tanner McKee +750 Anytime TD; +3000 First TD
- Brevyn Spann-Ford +650 Anytime TD; +3000 First TD
- Dallas Goedert +180 Anytime TD; +1000 First TD
All referenced odds are subject to change.
MNF Touchdown Pick: Tanner McKee (+750)
We’ll start with Tanner McKee, and no, I am not expecting him to suddenly turn into Jalen Hurts as a runner. This is a much more specific bet.
If Philadelphia gets to the doorstep, will the Eagles trust McKee to finish the job on a quarterback sneak? At +750, I’m interested in finding out.
McKee is listed at 6-foot-6 and approximately 230 pounds. The frame is certainly there, but being a large human does not automatically mean the Eagles will ask him to push through a defensive front.
The more useful evidence is that they have already shown some willingness to use him that way.
Going back to the beginning of 2024, I found five McKee quarterback sneaks across four preseason appearances and one regular-season game. I cannot label every one a traditional tush push, but the short-yardage involvement is there.
The Birds have used Goedert in occasional tush-push situations before, but he’s a little banged up, so I don’t think it’s too silly to imagine that the big-bodied McKee could take the plunge.
Dallas also makes this more appealing. The Cowboys’ defensive struggles give Philadelphia a chance to reach scoring territory despite the missing pieces.
Of course, getting to the 1-yard line is only part of the equation. The Eagles can hand it off, throw it, or decide they would rather not expose their replacement quarterback to that contact.
At +750 on Hard Rock Bet, we have a plausible scoring path and evidence that Philadelphia has used it before. I’ll take a small shot, with an even smaller sprinkle on his +3000 first-touchdown price.
MNF TD Prediction: Brevyn Spann-Ford (+650)
Brevyn Spann-Ford is not going to lead many touchdown articles, but his usage deserves a closer look.
By my snap tracking, last week was Spann-Ford’s second-highest offensive snap percentage in a game with Jake Ferguson also active over the past three seasons.
That’s a noteworthy development for a secondary tight end priced at +650.
More importantly, he’s played 68% of Dallas’ offensive snaps inside the opponent’s 5-yard line in 2026, ranking fourth among Cowboys skill-position players.
Those are the snaps that can make a lower-volume player relevant in this market. We don’t need a monster receiving day if he gets one useful opportunity close to the goal line. At approximately 6-foot-6 and 265 pounds, Spann-Ford gives Dallas a substantial target if the Cowboys decide to throw while the defense focuses elsewhere.
Spann-Ford took advantage of a larger role last week, earning five targets and four catches.
At +650 anytime for an anytime TD, there’s enough of a football argument for a sprinkle. His +3000 first-touchdown number is an even more speculative option, so size that one accordingly.
Monday TD Prediction: Dallas Goedert (+180)
Dallas Goedert is the more straightforward play on this card.
The Eagles are without DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks, leaving plenty of receiving responsibility available. Rookie Makai Lemon should be involved, but Goedert gives McKee an established option in an offense short on familiar weapons.
We saw that connection show up last week, when Goedert drew eight targets with McKee at quarterback. That doesn’t guarantee another busy night, but it is a much better starting point than simply assuming a young quarterback will throw to his tight end.
The matchup gives us another reason to look his way. Dallas ranks last in defensive EPA per passing play, which makes this a more manageable assignment for Philadelphia’s depleted passing game.
I also would not be surprised to see more two-tight-end personnel with Johnny Mundt involved.
That’s just me speculating, but it would make sense for the Eagles to use those looks to support the run game and create opportunities off play action.
At +180 on Hard Rock Bet, he has the clearest established receiving role of the three players on this card. His +1000 first-touchdown price is also an option for a smaller wager.
Good luck with all of your MNF touchdown bets! Play responsibly, especially with these longer-odds props. These are individual wagers, not a recommendation to combine the card into a parlay, and the first-touchdown bets should be smaller still.
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