Fresh off the biggest upset of the knockout stage, Paraguay now faces tournament favorite France on Saturday at Lincoln Financial Field with a place in the World Cup quarterfinals on the line.
Didier Deschamps’ side cruised through Group I with a perfect 3-0 record while scoring at least three goals in every match before carrying that momentum into the knockout stage with a commanding 3-0 victory over Sweden. Kylian Mbappé led the way once again, scoring twice, while Bradley Barcola also found the back of the net.
Paraguay’s road has been far less conventional. After suffering a 4-1 defeat to the United States in its tournament opener, La Albirroja regrouped to sneak into the knockout rounds as a third-place qualifier before delivering one of the biggest shocks of the World Cup. Julio Enciso gave Paraguay an early lead against Germany, and after the sides battled to a 1-1 draw through extra time, Paraguay held its nerve to win the penalty shootout 4-3.
Saturday’s matchup features two teams arriving with plenty of confidence, albeit for very different reasons. France is trying to stay on course for another World Cup title, while Paraguay is hoping its unforgettable underdog run has another chapter left to write.
Paraguay vs. France Current Odds
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook has France listed as a heavy favorite entering Saturday’s quarterfinal matchup. The three-way moneyline highlighted below applies only to regulation, meaning wagers are graded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match remains level and moves to extra time, the Draw is the winning outcome.
- 🇵🇾 Paraguay (+1750)
- ✋ Draw (+600)
- 🇫🇷 France (-550)
France vs. Paraguay: Odds to Advance
If you’re more interested in picking the team that reaches the next round regardless of how long the match lasts, the To Advance market includes regulation, extra time and penalty kicks before determining a winner.
- 🇵🇾 Paraguay to Advance (+800)
- 🇫🇷 France to Advance (-1600)
Paraguay vs. France Prediction
Hard Rock Bet’s Stats Hub is packed with betting trends, player streaks and matchup data for every World Cup fixture. One trend involving Kylian Mbappé is especially difficult to ignore heading into Saturday’s match.
Kylian Mbappé First Goalscorer (+190)
Kylian Mbappé has scored the opening goal in five of France’s last six World Cup matches, including qualifiers – a reflection of how quickly Les Bleus have put opponents on the back foot.
France hasn’t needed much time to seize control during this tournament, scoring at least three goals in every match while overwhelming opponents with its pace and depth up top.
Paraguay earned plenty of respect with its penalty-shootout victory over Germany, but the South Americans spent long stretches absorbing pressure in that match. France presents an even greater attacking challenge, particularly with Mbappé leading the line and thriving when defenses are forced to chase.
If France continues its trend of fast starts, Mbappé is well positioned to be the player who gets things rolling. At +190, there’s value in backing the French superstar to score the first goal of the match.
World Cup Futures for France, Paraguay
Saturday’s winner will move on to the quarterfinals on July 9 in Boston, where the winner of Canada vs. Morocco awaits.
Here’s where both sides currently stand in terms of futures prices:
France World Cup Futures
- France to win the World Cup: +195
- France to reach the Final: -105
- France to reach the Semifinal: -260
Paraguay World Cup Futures
- Paraguay to win the World Cup: +25000
- Paraguay to reach the Final: +6000
- Paraguay to reach the Semifinal: +1500
Paraguay vs. France Match Info
📍 Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
📅 Date: Saturday, July 4
⏰ Start Time: 5:00 PM ET
📺 Where to Watch: FOX, Tele, FOX One
🏆 Stage: World Cup Quarterfinal
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