Rams at Seahawks (-2.5)
They split the two games during the regular season. The last one was a shootout. It ended up 38-37 in favor of the Seahawks. Sam Darnold drives down the field in a valiant effort to win the game. They go for the two-point conversion. They convert in overtime. Walk-off win. Beautiful game.
The first matchup wasn’t as pretty. Four interceptions by Darnold, but his defense kept standing up for him. They held Matthew Stafford to 130 yards passing and had a chance to win at the end.
The Rams defense is incredible. They’re riding high. They played fantastic in tough conditions against a very good Chicago Bears offense. Matthew Stafford didn’t throw a touchdown pass. He didn’t play his best football, but they still came away with the win.
This Seahawks team is different.
A defense finding its rhythm at the right time is a dangerous thing. Their confidence is through the roof. This team has been on a mission from day one of training camp until now. They knew what they had in the building. If you spent any time around them, you could feel it.
Sam Darnold doesn’t have to save the world. He doesn’t have to throw five or six touchdowns. Run the football. Be consistent. Let the defense do their job.
This is a complete team. Special teams, defense, offense. They have everything they need.
Sherman’s Prediction: Seattle wins 27-17 with a defensive score.
Patriots (-5.5) at Broncos
This game was supposed to be magnificent until Bo Nix broke his ankle. Now the storyline has totally shifted.
Losing your quarterback is huge. Colossal. Monumental. That’s the difference between winning and losing in this league.
Denver has a defense. They’ve been fantastic. They’ve been dynamic. But asking a backup to come in and carry you in this moment is unrealistic.
They have to run the ball, protect the football, win time of possession, and hope everything goes right. That’s a tall mountain.
On the other side, New England is built for this. They’re underrated. Sixth against the run. Ninth against the pass. Number four scoring defense. They don’t have flashy names, but they play disciplined, high-level football.
They’re well coached. They’re ball aware. They have great ball skills in the secondary. They have everything.
Everybody loves a fairy tale. Everybody loves a happy ending. This isn’t one of those stories.
The Patriots will stack the box, force Denver to throw, and wear them down. Too many three-and-outs. Too many possessions.
Sherman’s Prediction: New England wins and covers the spread, 21-15.