BettingPros Best Bets for NFL Week 15

NFL Week 15 is here, and just like that, the season is accelerating toward the finish line. The playoff picture is sharpening, teams are revealing who’s still fighting and who’s already dreaming about offseason vacations, and that means betting edges are becoming clearer than ever. Andrew and I rolled into last week with matching 3-2 cards, and momentum is our friend as we attack this slate.

Let’s dive into my favorite betting angles of Week 15: totals, live home underdogs, and another upset special that’s too good to ignore.

Hard Rock Best Bet of the Week: Ravens-Bengals Over 51.5

I said it last week and I’ll say it again: stop worrying about totals coming down. Keep taking the overs when the matchup begs for fireworks, and this one absolutely does.

Neither the Bengals nor the Ravens are bringing a functioning defense to this meeting. Baltimore’s secondary is leaking chunk plays, Cincinnati’s front can’t stop anyone, and mistakes on both sides should turn into points – fast.

Burrow’s turnovers last week masked how well he actually moved the ball, and these divisional games between Cincinnati and Baltimore always tilt toward chaos. Whether the Bengals steal another win over the Ravens or not, the script screams scoring, not stops.

I’m rolling with the over. Again.

Green Bay Packers -1.5

A lot of people are going to gravitate toward Denver at home, but I’m heading the other way. The Packers have something brewing, and Jordan Love is quietly playing his best football of the year.

This line dropped from -2.5 to -1.5, and I love it even more now. The Packers have found a rhythm: big NFC North wins over Detroit on Thanksgiving and the Bears last week. Their run game travels, their quarterback is limiting mistakes, and this is exactly the kind of out-of-conference matchup where momentum stays hot.

Denver’s defense is legit. Their offense? Still wildly inconsistent. At some point the close-game magic wears off, and Green Bay is built to take advantage.

I’m backing the Pack with confidence.

Texans-Cardinals Under 42.5

Andrew and I linked arms on this one, and for good reason.

Houston at home as a favorite has been an under machine: 18-1 to the under dating back to last year. This defense suffocates non-division opponents, and Arizona’s offense is facing injuries at tackle and a brutal trench matchup.

Could Jacoby Brissett sling it 55 times in garbage time? Sure. But unders hit when one team gets dragged into a slow, ugly fight… and that’s exactly the environment Houston creates in their own building.

Even with some respect for Arizona’s resilience, the most reliable path is the under. I’m on it.

Jets-Jaguars Under 42

The Jets are on their third quarterback. Their offense was lifeless weeks ago, and things have only worsened. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is doing exactly what I told you to expect: they’ve tightened up the division race and handled business.

The Jets putting up 10 points in this game feels like an optimistic projection. Jacksonville should move the ball enough to win comfortably, somewhere around the high 20s, but that’s nowhere near enough for this total to get threatened.

One-sided games lean under. This one fits the profile perfectly.

Upset Special: Patriots ML (+107)

I have hit my Upset Special three weeks in a row, and I’m keeping the streak alive.

The Patriots are rested, physical, and improving every single week. Drake Maye is playing his best football of the season, and this is exactly the type of December home game where New England leans into its identity: grinding, punishing, old-school football that wears teams down.

Buffalo has talent, but they’ve also shown cracks everywhere: inconsistent defense, shaky support for Josh Allen, and a tendency to wilt when punched in the mouth. New England can’t win shootouts, but they can win battles of attrition.

The Patriots take this one, and the home crowd is going to sound like the old days again.

Parlay of the Week (+278)

Combine our two best bets of the week:

• Baltimore–Cincinnati Over 51.5
• Rams–Lions Under 55.5 (Andrew’s lasso-lag special)

And you get a slick +278 parlay.