Bethpage Black, Sept. 26–28, 2025 — The 45th Ryder Cup arrives on New York’s toughest stage, and the betting picture at Hard Rock Bet points to a narrow home-soil edge for Team USA — with world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler pacing the top-scorer markets.
The Headline Numbers
- Winner (3-way): USA −145 (~59% implied probability) | Europe +150 (~40% implied probability) | Tie 14–14 +1300 (~7% implied probability)
- To lift the trophy: USA −145 | Europe +110
- Market sentiment: USA has drawn 46% of all bets so far this week — about 2x Europe’s share.
Top Overall Points Scorer
- Scottie Scheffler +500 (~17% implied probability) — currently among the three most-bet Ryder Cup options at Hard Rock Bet (behind Winner – USA and Winner – Europe).
- Chasing pack: Rory McIlroy +900, Tommy Fleetwood +1000, Jon Rahm +1100. (Implied probabilities decrease as odds lengthen.
Inside the Team Markets
Top USA Points Scorer
- Scheffler +225 (~31% implied probability) out front
- Next up: Bryson DeChambeau +550, Xander Schauffele +700, Patrick Cantlay +750
Top European Points Scorer
- McIlroy +375 (~21% implied probability) leads
- Close behind: Rahm +450, Fleetwood +500
- Contenders: Ludvig Åberg +750, Tyrrell Hatton +750
Wildcard Races
- Overall wildcard favorite: Jon Rahm +350 (shortest price among wildcards; higher implied probability than peers)
- Top USA wildcard: Patrick Cantlay +300
How Close Could It Be? Winning-Margin Picture
Prices cluster around a tight American victory:
- USA by 1–3: +350
- USA by 4–6: +450
- USA by 7+: +400
- Europe by 1–3: +450
- Tie 14–14: +1100 (Europe would retain the Cup)
Aces at Bethpage: Hole-in-One Markets
- Any hole-in-one: Yes +400 (~20% implied probability) | No −750
- 2+ hole-in-ones: Yes +1200
- Specific-hole long shots: Hole 14 +1000, Hole 17 +1750, Hole 8 +2250
Bet to Watch
- A Hard Rock Bet customer wagered $75,000 on Europe to win the 3-way market.
- Potential payout: $191,250 (profit $116,250).
Why the Markets Look This Way
- Home-soil trend: Recent Ryder Cups have favored hosts, and Bethpage’s demanding, crowd-charged setup amplifies that historical tilt.
- Form & fit: Scheffler’s elite tee-to-green numbers and the U.S. roster’s power profile fit Bethpage’s demands, supporting his Top USA and Top Overall favoritism.
- Depth vs. continuity: Europe’s core (McIlroy/Rahm/Fleetwood/Åberg) provides cohesion and away-day upside — reflected in relatively tight prices and steady interest.
Select “Ryder Cup 2025” from the golf betting menu within the app to see all available markets and current prices.
Odds courtesy of Hard Rock Bet with data pulled on 9/23 – subject to change – bet responsibly.
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