The Western Conference Semifinals has had everything: a massive road upset, a 39-point Wemby masterpiece, and a Flagrant 2 ejection that flipped momentum in the blink of an eye. Now the Spurs and Timberwolves head back to San Antonio tied at two games apiece with the series hanging in the balance.
Minnesota stole Game 1 at the Frost Bank Center behind Anthony Edwards‘ surprise return from injury, then watched San Antonio answer with a 133-95 beatdown in Game 2. Victor Wembanyama put the Spurs back ahead with a 39-point, 15-rebound, 5-block explosion in a Game 3 road win, but Game 4 took a wild turn when Wemby was tossed early in the second quarter for elbowing Naz Reid in the neck for his first career ejection. Edwards took over from there, pouring in 16 of his 36 points in the fourth quarter to lift the Wolves to a 114-109 win and even the series at 2-2. The NBA shockingly cleared Wembanyama of any further discipline on Monday, so the Spurs will be at full strength for Game 5.
Below we’ll run through everything you need to know for tonight’s decisive Game 5, from current odds and betting splits to popular props and our Stats Hub pick of the day.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 5 Odds
The Spurs are listed as comfortable home favorites at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Spurs -9.5 / Wolves +9.5
- Moneyline: Spurs -425 / Wolves +325
- Total: 218.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Picks & Predictions
Our Game 5 pick comes courtesy of the Hard Rock Bet Stats Hub, which surfaces data-driven insights for every matchup on the board. You can access it by tapping ‘Stats Hub’ in the top menu of the app. New to Hard Rock Bet? Sign up here!
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Best Bet: Julian Champagnie Over 15.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-110)
The undrafted St. John’s product has been one of the best stories of the postseason, and he’s been especially dangerous in this series. Champagnie is shooting a historic 58.8% from deep in the playoffs (the best mark ever for a player with 30+ attempts) and he’s averaging nearly 30 minutes a night as a full-time starter next to Wemby.
Coach Mitch Johnson asked him to become a better rebounder this season and he delivered, jumping from 3.9 boards per game last year to 5.8 in the regular season and 5.9 in the playoffs. That rebounding leap is what makes his PRA prop so appealing here: he doesn’t need a big scoring night to clear 15.5 when he’s consistently grabbing 5-7 boards and chipping in an assist or two. He’s hit this number in five straight games and the floor feels high in a game where San Antonio should be controlling the tempo at home.
Betting Splits and Popular Props: Spurs/Timberwolves
The betting splits for Game 5 break down as follows:
- 72.8% of moneyline handle is on the Spurs, with 76.6% of the bets following.
- 54.0% of the spread handle is on San Antonio to cover the 9.5 points, to go along with 46.6% of the tickets.
- 82% of the total handle is on over 218.5, with 79.8% of the tickets also landing on the over.
Most-Bet Player Props for Spurs-Timberwolves Game 5
- Anthony Edwards – Over 26.5 Points
- Victor Wembanyama – Over 27.5 Points
- Naz Reid – Over 11.5 Points
- Stephon Castle – Over 17.5 Points
- Dylan Harper – Over 11.5 Points
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Info
- đź“Ť Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
- đź“… Date: Tuesday, May 12
- ⏰ Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
- đź“şđź’» TV/Streaming: NBC, Peacock
Injury Report: Spurs-Timberwolves
- SAS – De’Aaron Fox: Questionable (left ankle soreness)
- SAS – Victor Wembanyama: Available (cleared, no suspension following Game 4 ejection)
- MIN – Ayo Dosunmu: Questionable (heel)
All referenced odds are subject to change.
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