Rays vs. Blue Jays Predictions, Picks & Odds as Tampa Bay Goes for Sweep

Thursday afternoon’s series finale features the Tampa Bay Rays (59-42) taking on the Toronto Blue Jays (46-56) at the Rogers Centre at 3:07 p.m. ET. The Rays have already clinched a series victory by winning the first three matchups, while the Blue Jays will try to salvage the finale and avoid a fifth consecutive loss.

Tampa Bay currently sits atop the American League East and holds a 2.5-game lead over the New York Yankees while riding a three-game winning streak. Toronto, meanwhile, is 13.5 games back in the division. The Blue Jays have dropped four straight games, gone 3-7 over their last 10, and fallen 6.5 games behind the final Wild Card spot in the American League.

Tampa Bay has dominated the season series between these two sides, improving to 8-1 against Toronto following Wednesday’s victory. The Rays opened this four-game set with a 7-1 win before erupting for a season-high 21 hits in Tuesday’s 12-2 rout. Nick Fortes and Yandy Díaz each launched three-run home runs, while Ben Williamson and Chandler Simpson collected four hits apiece.

The Rays followed that performance with a 4-2 victory on Wednesday night. Griffin Jax allowed one run over six innings, Victor Mesa Jr. drove in two runs and Bryan Baker worked a scoreless ninth inning to earn his 26th save. Toronto has now fallen to 1-5 through the first six games of its seven-game homestand.

Shane Bieber will make his sixth start of the season this afternoon after missing the first half with right elbow inflammation while completing his recovery from Tommy John surgery. The right-hander owns a 1-1 record, a 5.70 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP, although he delivered his best performance of the season in his last outing with six scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox. Southpaw Ian Seymour gets the ball for the surging Rays opposite Bieber.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds Today

• Moneyline: Rays -109, Blue Jays -111
• Run Line: Rays -1.5 (+150), Blue Jays +1.5 (-185)
• Total: Over 8.5 (-110), Under 8.5 (-110)

Best Bet for TB-TOR: Rays RL -1.5 (+150)

Rays Run Line -1.5 (+150): Toronto has failed to cover the run line in 12 consecutive home games against American League opponents, and this matchup sets up well for that streak to continue. Tampa Bay has controlled every phase of this series, outscoring the Blue Jays 23-5 while winning each game by at least two runs. The Rays’ lineup continues to pressure opposing pitching from top to bottom, while Toronto’s offense has managed just five total runs across the first three contests. Until the Blue Jays show they can reverse those home struggles against AL clubs, grabbing the run line with the division-leading Rays offers reasonable value.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Betting Splits

• Moneyline: The Rays are drawing 74.5% of all bets and 68.9% of the handle, while the Blue Jays have attracted 25.5% of bets and 31.1% of the money.
• Run Line: Rays -1.5 has received 57.1% of all tickets and a larger 73.8% share of the dollars. Blue Jays +1.5 accounts for 42.9% of bets and 26.2% of the handle.
• Total: Over 8.5 runs is drawing 77% of all bets and 70.9% of the handle, compared to 23% of all tickets and 29.1% of the handle on Under 8.5.

Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props at Hard Rock Bet

1. Junior Caminero – Over 0.5 Home Runs
2. Junior Caminero – To Record 1+ Hits
3. Chandler Simpson – Over 0.5 Hits
4. Kazuma Okamoto – Over 0.5 Home Runs
5. Ian Seymour – Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Rays vs. Blue Jays Game Info

• Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
• Date: Thursday, July 23
• First Pitch: 3:07 p.m. ET
• TV/Streaming: Sportsnet, Rays.TV, WMOR and MLB.TV
• Probable Pitchers: Rays – Ian Seymour | Blue Jays – Shane Bieber

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