The Pittsburgh Pirates (58-62) travel to South Florida to take on the Miami Marlins (60-59) Tuesday night for the opener of a three-game series at loanDepot park. The Marlins won the previous series 2-1 when these two teams last met in Pittsburgh in June.
After sweeping Philadelphia and earning a four-game series victory against the New York Mets, the Marlins were swept by Atlanta and then dropped the series opener to the Los Angeles Angels on Friday before picking up back-to-back dominant wins to close out that series ahead of Monday’s off day. Miami has had its ups and downs lately, but it still finds itself in the thick of the National League playoff race, sitting just 3.5 games back of a Wild Card spot entering Tuesday.
The Pirates are also within range of an NL Wild Card spot but have been scuffling since the All-Star break. Pittsburgh has lost five of its last six games and is 8-15 since returning from the break.
Some of Pittsburgh’s struggles can be directly attributed to 2025 NL Cy Young Award winner Paul Skenes, who has struggled himself lately, posting a 6.25 ERA across six starts in July and being charged with the loss in his last outing against Milwaukee in his first start of August. Skenes is 9-10 with a 3.96 ERA this season and is set to take the mound Tuesday night against Miami. The Marlins will counter with 23-year-old right-hander Eury Pérez, who had pitched very well since May 22 before taking a loss against Atlanta in his last start, when he allowed seven hits, two walks, and four earned runs over five innings.
Pirates vs. Marlins Odds
Despite Skenes’ recent struggles, Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists the Pirates as slight road favorites for Tuesday night’s series opener with the three-time All-Star on the mound:
- Moneyline: Pirates -110, Marlins +100
- Run Line: Pirates -1.5 (+160), Marlins +1.5 (-170)
- Total (Runs): Over 6.5 (-130), Under 6.5 (+120)
Hard Rock Bet’s 10¢ Summer Sale is making MLB odds even more appealing throughout August with reduced-vig dime lines on qualifying pregame Moneyline, Run Line, and Total markets. Eligible markets automatically feature the tighter pricing, so players can take advantage without opting in.
Pirates vs. Marlins Predictions
Two talented young pitchers take the mound in Miami Tuesday night as two teams trying to stay in the playoff race battle it out at loanDepot park. Get in on the baseball betting action at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook and check out the Stats Hub for inspiration and valuable information before placing your wagers:
Marlins vs. Pirates Best Bet: Eury Pérez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-105)
Eury Pérez may not be on Jacob Misiorowski’s level when it comes to strikeouts, but he can still generate plenty of punchouts whenever he takes the mound. While Pérez doesn’t qualify to be among the league leaders in certain categories due to missing time earlier this season, his 9.93 K/9 is well above the MLB average of 8.50 this season and would be tied for the 15th-highest rate in the majors so far this year.
Pérez has 121 strikeouts in 109.2 innings across 20 starts in 2026, which comes out to an average of 6.05 strikeouts per start. He’s gone over 6.5 strikeouts in four of his last seven starts, including tying his season high with nine in his previous outing against Atlanta.
On the flip side, the Pirates have struck out more times than any of the other 29 MLB teams this season entering Tuesday’s action. Pittsburgh has also struck out more than any other team in road games this year, and it hasn’t gotten any better lately, as the Pirates have recorded the most strikeouts since the All-Star break.
- Marlins vs. Pirates Player Prop Pick for Aug. 11: Eury Pérez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-105)
Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for PIT-MIA
Pitching props are dominating the player prop markets for this one, as Paul Skenes and Eury Pérez account for six of the top 10 most-bet player props for Tuesday night’s series opener:
- Paul Skenes – To Record 6+ Strikeouts
- Paul Skenes – Over 6.5 Strikeouts
- Eury Pérez – To Record 6+ Strikeouts
- Paul Skenes – Over 5.5 Strikeouts
- Otto López – Over 0.5 Hits
Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Splits
Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet heading into first pitch in Miami:
- The Marlins are attracting slightly more action on the moneyline with 56.5% of bets and 52.9% of the handle.
- The run-line action is also nearly split, with Pittsburgh drawing 56.3% of bets while Miami is generating 52.4% of the handle.
- The Over accounts for 62.2% of bets, but the Under is bringing in 75.5% of the handle.
Pirates vs. Marlins Game Info
- 📍 Where: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- 📅 Date: Tuesday, Aug. 11
- ⏰ First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
- 📺💻 TV/Streaming: MLB.TV
- ⚾ Probable Pitchers:
- Pirates: Paul Skenes
- Marlins: Eury Pérez
More Ways to Bet
One swing can cash your ticket, but until then, Florida players can keep things interesting with Real Money Games powered by Past Motor Racing, only on Hard Rock Bet. It’s another way to stay engaged between plate appearances.
Referenced odds are subject to change.
Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in FL. Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital, LLC, in all other states. Must be 21+ and physically present in AZ, CO, FL, IL, IN, MI, NJ, OH, TN or VA to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling? In FL, call 1-833-PLAYWISE. In IN, if you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9-WITH-IT. In AZ, OH, & VA, call 1-800-MY-RESET.
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1‑800‑GAMBLER (CO, IL, MI, NJ, TN)
