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Sweden vs Netherlands predictions

World Cup action continues on Saturday afternoon as the Netherlands take on Sweden at 1 p.m. ET at Houston Stadium (NRG Stadium). Both of these Group F sides opened their World Cup campaigns by earning points, setting up an early showdown between two teams with ambitions of not just topping the group – but making a run deep into the knockout round.

The Netherlands enter the match after a 2-2 draw with Japan in their opening fixture. One of Europe’s traditional powers, the Dutch need points here to avoid requiring a result against Tunisia next week to advance. Currently ranked among the world’s elite, the Oranje know that a victory over Sweden all but guarantees a knockout round appearance.

Sweden, meanwhile, made an emphatic statement in their opener with a 5-1 victory over Tunisia. The Swedes have one of the most lethal attacks in the tournament, led by Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal) and Alexander Isaac (Liverpool). With three points already in hand, Sweden can guarantee passage to the Round of 32 with a win – something they’d like to do ahead of their final group stage game against Japan.

Here’s how the Netherlands vs Sweden betting scene is taking shape ahead of the match on Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook:

Netherlands vs Sweden current odds

Three-way moneyline prices for Netherlands-Sweden break down as follows for Saturday afternoon:

  • Netherlands to win: -135
  • Tie: +300
  • Sweden to win: +375

With these odds, the implied probability of each side looks like: Netherlands to win – 57%, tie – 25%, Sweden to win – 21% as the betting underdog.

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Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction

The Hard Rock Bet Stats Hub is packed with insights and information to help players research and arrive on exciting bets for the World Cup (and other sports, too). For the Netherlands-Sweden clash there was one insight that really stood out…

The Pick: Netherlands vs Sweden – over 3.5 goals (+160)

Including qualifiers, the over 3.5 goals market has hit in five of the last six World Cup matches that the Netherlands has played. Further, we’re getting this at +160 which seems like value given the frequency at which it’s hit.

Going deeper, Sweden opened the tournament with a scintillating five goal performance against Tunisia and have two of the best striker’s in the world leading their line in Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isaak. There’s goals in this team. Further, the Netherlands haven’t been defensively sound, and are without star fullback Jurriën Timber, one of the best pure 1-on-1 defenders in the world, for the duration of the tournament due to injury.

The Dutch side isn’t lacking firepower either, which is why this over 3.5 goals market looks like a solid play.

The Pick: Sweden vs Netherlands – Both teams to score (-165)

If you’re looking for a slightly safer option, both teams to score is available at -165. All of the same arguments for the over 3.5 goals can apply here too. There’s plenty of reasons to think we’ll see goals here and I’m willing to pay the current price.

Including qualifiers, this one has hit in five straight World Cup matches for Sweden.

Futures odds for Netherlands, Sweden

If you’re interested in betting on Sweden or the Netherlands as they move through the tournament, current futures prices include:

World Cup Group F current odds

  • Netherlands: +120
  • Sweden: +200
  • Japan: +240
  • Tunisia: +10000

Odds that the Netherlands win the World Cup:

  • Netherlands to win the World Cup: +1750 (17.5/1)

Odds that Sweden wins the World Cup:

  • Sweden to win the World Cup: +10000 (100/1)

Netherland vs Sweden Match Info

  • 📍 Location: Houston Stadium (NRG Stadium), Houston, TX
  • 📅 Date: Saturday, June 20
  • ⏰ Start Time: 1:00pm ET
  • 📺 Where to Watch: FOX, Telemundo
  • 🏆 Stage: World Cup Group Stage – Group F

All referenced odds are subject to change.

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Nick Chappell

Nick has been an active contributor and participant in the iGaming space since 2009, covering sports betting, casino, and poker for a wide range of publications. Away from the keyboard, he enjoys trying to keep up with his kids, sweating his favorite teams, and traveling. Contact Nick at [email protected].