Netherlands vs. Morocco Odds, Props & Predictions for Knockout Match in Guadalupe

The 2026 World Cup knockout rounds continue Monday night as the Netherlands and Morocco square off at Estadio BBVA in Guadalupe, Mexico. The winner of tonight’s match will advance to face Canada on July 4 in Houston, while the loser’s World Cup journey will come to an end.

The Netherlands finished atop Group F with a 2-1-0 record and seven points, and enter the knockout stage in strong form. The Dutch opened the tournament with a 2-2 draw against Japan before cruising to a 5-1 victory over Sweden and closing group stage play with a 3-1 win over Tunisia to secure first place.

Morocco also finished with seven points in Group C, but settled for second after losing the group to Brazil on goal differential. The Atlas Lions opened with a 1-1 draw against Brazil, followed with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Scotland before rallying for a 4-2 comeback victory over Haiti to punch their ticket to the knockout stage.

Now, both sides face a win-or-go-home showdown with a place in the Round of 16 on the line.

Netherlands vs. Morocco Odds Today

Here’s a look at the current odds for Monday’s knockout round matchup at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook.

3-Way Moneyline Odds

For those looking to pick the winner during regulation (including draws), check out the 3-way moneyline. Note that this market only covers the first 90 minutes of the game plus any additional stoppage time. Extra time and penalties (if necessary) will not impact the result of this market.

• 🇳🇱 Netherlands (+130)
• 🤚 Draw (+210)
• 🇲🇦 Morocco (+250)

Odds to Advance

For those looking to simply bet on which team will advance to play Canada on Saturday, click on ‘To Advance’ under the ‘Popular’ tab for the specific game you’re betting on. This market includes the full 90 minutes of regulation, extra time, and penalties. If you successfully pick the team that moves on, your bet wins.

• 🇳🇱 Netherlands (-155)
• 🇲🇦 Morocco (+125)

Referenced odds subject to change.

Netherlands vs. Morocco Best Bet

Tonight’s featured betting angle for Netherlands vs. Morocco is powered by Hard Rock Bet’s Stats Hub. Visit Stats Hub on the Hard Rock Bet app or website for matchup trends, team streaks, and betting insights throughout the 2026 World Cup.

Both Teams to Score (-125): Both Teams to Score has cashed in each of the Netherlands’ last five World Cup matches, a stretch that includes all three group stage contests. The Dutch have scored at least two goals in every match this tournament, highlighted by a five-goal outburst against Sweden.

While Morocco’s matches have been a bit more defensive overall, the Atlas Lions have done their part by finding the back of the net in all three group stage games. They capped off the opening round with a 4-2 comeback win over Haiti, featuring four goals from four different scorers. With the Netherlands bringing one of the tournament’s hottest attacks and Morocco proving capable of creating chances of its own, both teams finding the net is a worthy play at -125.

Betting Splits at Hard Rock Bet

Here’s how players at Hard Rock Bet are targeting tonight’s match on both the 3-way moneyline and outright winner:

3-Way Moneyline

• Netherlands: The Dutch are attracting the majority of the action, drawing 69.6% of all bets and 72.3% of the handle to win in regulation.
• Morocco: Morocco has received 22.0% of the tickets and 18.3% of the money.
• Draw: The draw accounts for 8.3% of all wagers and 9% of the handle.

To Advance

• Netherlands: Bettors are even more confident in the Netherlands to reach the Round of 16, with 79.9% of all bets and a commanding 87.6% of the dollars backing them to advance.
• Morocco: Morocco is drawing just 20.1% of bets and 12.4% of the handle to advance.

Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props

Familiar names on both sides headline the most-bet player props for tonight’s match:

1. Cody Gakpo – Over 0.5 Shots on Target
2. Ismael Saibari – Over 0.5 Shots on Target
3. Brian Brobbey – Over 0.5 Shots on Target
4. Ismael Saibari – Anytime Goalscorer
5. Brian Brobbey – Anytime Goalscorer

Updated World Cup Odds

With the group stage in the rearview mirror and the knockout rounds underway, the Netherlands enter Monday as one of the tournament’s most intriguing dark horse contenders. Currently listed at +1750 to win the World Cup, the Dutch have backed up the hype with an impressive group-stage showing and boast a track record of making deep runs on soccer’s biggest stage.

Morocco, meanwhile, sits at +4000 to lift the trophy. While the Atlas Lions are still considered somewhat of a longshot, they proved four years ago that they can compete with the world’s elite by reaching the 2022 World Cup semifinals. Another deep tournament run won’t come easy, but they’re more than capable of pulling off another surprise.

Before either team can start thinking about a quarterfinal berth or beyond, they’ll first have to survive Monday’s knockout clash.

• Netherlands to win the World Cup: +1750
• Morocco to win the World Cup: +4000

Referenced odds subject to change.

Netherlands vs. Morocco Match Info

• 📍 Where: Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe, Mexico
• 📅 Date: Monday, June 29
• ⏰ Start Time: 9:00 PM ET
• 📺 TV/Streaming: FOX, Tele FOX, FOX One
• 🏆 Next match for winner: Canada | July 4 | 1:00 PM ET | Houston

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