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The Toronto Blue Jays (69-71) wrap up a three-game series in Cleveland, Ohio, against the Guardians (70-69) with day baseball in today’s finale at Progressive Field. The Guardians picked up a series-opening 6-1 win Tuesday before the Blue Jays answered with an 11-0 shutout Wednesday night to set up this afternoon’s rubber match.

The Guardians had a seven-game winning streak snapped after losing the first two games of a series against Kansas City but got back in the win column in that finale before picking up another victory in Tuesday’s opener against Toronto. While the Blue Jays got on the board first in the fifth inning, Guardians catcher Patrick Bailey hit a go-ahead two-run home run in the bottom half before Ángel Genao and Ángel Martínez each hit two-run home runs later in the game. Gavin Williams pitched a gem for Cleveland, allowing just two hits and one unearned run while recording a career-high 13 strikeouts in the win, snapping the Blue Jays’ three-game winning streak.

Game 2 was all Blue Jays as Toronto gave starter Dylan Cease an early 7-0 lead through three innings. The rest was smooth sailing for Cease and the Blue Jays’ pitching staff, as Cease tossed six scoreless innings before Paul Sewald, Brendon Little, and Braydon Fisher each pitched a scoreless inning out of the bullpen. Blue Jays All-Star first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. had a game to remember in the win, going 3-for-5 with five RBIs, including a three-run home run, which was shockingly just his eighth homer of the year in what has been an uncharacteristically powerless season for the slugger.

Right-hander José Soriano is set to make his sixth start with the Blue Jays since being acquired in a trade after posting a 3.29 ERA across 22 starts with the Los Angeles Angels. He’ll look to lower his 4.13 ERA with his new team this afternoon. Tanner Bibee will take the mound for the Guardians, bringing a 5-14 record and 3.88 ERA into the matchup.

With the series on the line and both teams fighting for playoff positioning, we’re breaking down Blue Jays vs. Guardians predictions and picks for this afternoon’s rubber match in Cleveland.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds Today

Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists today’s game as a pick’em on the moneyline, but the Blue Jays are favored on the run line:

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays -110, Guardians -110
  • Run Line: Blue Jays -1.5 (+150), Guardians +1.5 (-185)
  • Total (Runs): Over 7.5 (-120), Under 7.5 (+100)
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Blue Jays vs. Guardians Predictions

The Blue Jays and Guardians are both right in the mix in the American League playoff race, so make sure to get in on the action at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook as the final push of the 2026 MLB regular season intensifies. Check out the Stats Hub for baseball betting insights, trends, and picks like the one below for the game:

Guardians vs. Blue Jays Best Bet: Blue Jays Moneyline (-110)

The Blue Jays are coming off a dominant 11-0 shutout win Wednesday, which should undoubtedly help carry momentum into this afternoon’s series finale. While the AL East crown is out of the equation, the 2025 American League pennant winners are just 1.5 games back of an AL Wild Card spot with a lot to play for over their final 22 games of the regular season as they look to avoid missing the playoffs altogether.

That’s not to say the Guardians don’t have a lot to play for. They’re only three games back of the Chicago White Sox in the AL Central and currently hold the final AL Wild Card spot in a tight race.

In addition to bringing momentum into this game, another factor in today’s pick is that Guardians starter Tanner Bibee seems to have had a little bad luck this season when it comes to his win-loss record. Bibee is having a solid season overall, but his 5-14 record doesn’t necessarily reflect that. The right-hander notably has a modest 3.80 ERA in home games this season but a 2-8 record, while he also owns a 3.89 ERA during day games but is just 1-2 in those contests.

Just to further show how unlucky he may be this year, Bibee posted a 1.89 ERA across five starts in June but had a 2-2 record for the month. He also allowed three or fewer earned runs in four of his five August starts but had a 1-3 record to show for it. More recently, Bibee tossed six innings of one-run baseball in his last start on Aug. 28 but was still charged with the loss in the Guardians’ 3-0 defeat against Kansas City.

  • Guardians vs. Blue Jays Moneyline Pick for Today: Blue Jays Moneyline (-110)

Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for TOR-CLE

Both starting pitchers’ strikeout props are atop the board as the two most-bet player props for today’s Blue Jays vs. Guardians series finale in Cleveland:

  1. Tanner Bibee – Over 3.5 Strikeouts
  2. José Soriano – Over 3.5 Strikeouts
  3. Steven Kwan – Over 0.5 Hits
  4. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. – To Record 1+ Hits
  5. José Ramírez – Over 0.5 Hits

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Game Info

  • 📍 Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
  • 📅 Date: Thursday, Sept. 3
  • First Pitch: 1:10 PM ET
  • 📺💻 TV/Streaming: MLB.TV
  • Probable Pitchers:
    • Blue Jays: José Soriano
    • Guardians: Tanner Bibee

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Referenced odds are subject to change.

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Michael Hennelly

Michael has been an active sports contributor for multiple publications since graduating from Penn State in 2024. While sports play a major role in his life (in the best way), he also enjoys spending time with family and friends. Contact Michael at michael.hennelly at hardrockdigital.com.