The knockout stage has arrived.
Friday night delivers a World Baseball Classic quarterfinal doubleheader featuring four very different storylines — an undefeated powerhouse, a battle-tested contender, a perennial favorite, and a history-making underdog.
Game 1 pits Korea (2-2) against the unbeaten Dominican Republic (4-0, Pool D winner) at 6:30 PM ET at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.
Game 2 follows with Team USA (3-1) facing Canada (3-1, Pool A winner) at 8:00 PM ET at Daikin Park.
The stakes are simple: win and advance to Sunday’s semifinal in Miami. Lose, and the tournament is over.
Quarterfinal #1: Korea vs. Dominican Republic
The Dominican Republic enters the quarterfinals as one of the most complete teams in the tournament. A 4-0 pool run wasn’t just about wins, it was about depth, balance, and late-inning execution. The DR lineup has consistently created pressure, and the pitching staff has limited damage in high-leverage moments.
Korea’s path has been far more turbulent. A 2-2 pool record was enough to advance, but consistency has been elusive. When Korea’s offense strings together disciplined at-bats, it can generate crooked numbers. The question is whether it can sustain that approach against elite pitching.
Korea vs. Dominican Republic Game Info
- 📍 Where: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- 📅 Date: Friday, March 13
- ⏰ First Pitch: 6:30 PM ET
- 📺 Broadcast: FS2
Korea vs. Dominican Republic Current Odds
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists the Dominican Republic as a heavy favorite entering Friday night’s quarterfinal matchup against Korea. Here’s a look at the current moneyline, run line, and total for the knockout-stage opener.
Odds as of Friday afternoon. Subject to change.
Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dominican Republic -1100, Korea +575 |
| Run Line | Dominican Republic -4.5 (-145), Korea +4.5 (+115) |
| Total (Runs) | Over 10.5 (-125), Under 10.5 (-105) |
Korea vs. Dominican Republic Player Props
With elite power bats stacked throughout the Dominican lineup and Korea capable of manufacturing offense in bunches, Friday night’s prop board is loaded with home run and strikeout markets. Here’s a look at the player props available at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook, which can be found under the Game Exclusives tab.
To Hit 1+ Home Run
- Juan Soto +150
- Junior Caminero +180
- Ketel Marte +200
- Austin Wells +250
- Oneil Cruz +250
- Manny Machado +300
- Do Yeong Kim OR Jahmai Jones +300
- Do Yeong Kim OR Hyeseong Kim +350
- Do Yeong Kim OR Jung Hoo Lee +400
- Hyeseong Kim OR Jung Hoo Lee +450
To Hit 2+ Home Runs
- Juan Soto +1000
- Ketel Marte +1500
- Junior Caminero +1500
- Oneil Cruz +2000
- Austin Wells +2250
- Manny Machado +2500
To Hit a Home Run in First Plate Appearance
- Juan Soto +600
- Ketel Marte +1100
- Junior Caminero +1100
- Austin Wells +1400
- Oneil Cruz +1400
- Julio Rodríguez +1500
- Manny Machado +1500
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +1600
- Fernando Tatís Jr. +1600
- Geraldo Perdomo +1750
- Shay Whitcomb +2500
- Do Yeong Kim +2500
- Jahmai Jones +2500
- Hyeseong Kim +3000
- Jung Hoo Lee +3000
- Hyun Min Ahn +3000
Each to Hit 1+ Home Runs
- Juan Soto AND Junior Caminero +600
- Juan Soto AND Ketel Marte +600
- Ketel Marte AND Junior Caminero +700
- Juan Soto AND Austin Wells +700
- Do Yeong Kim AND Jahmai Jones +4000
- Do Yeong Kim AND Hyeseong Kim +5000
- Do Yeong Kim AND Jung Hoo Lee +5000
Strikeout Props
- Cristopher Sánchez 6+ Strikeouts +120
- Cristopher Sánchez 7+ Strikeouts +250
It’s no surprise to see DR sluggers dominating the short-odds home run markets. If Korea keeps the game competitive early, however, plus-money and longshot combo props could offer intriguing value.
Korea & Dominican Republic WBC Championship Odds
With a semifinal berth on the line Friday night, the futures market further highlights the gap between these two nations.
- Korea: +5000 (longest odds remaining)
- Dominican Republic: +240 (2nd-best odds among final 8 teams)
A Korea upset would send shockwaves through the futures board heading into the semifinals.
Korea & Dominican Republic WBC MVP Odds
Individual hardware is also in play as both teams push deeper into the knockout stage, and a big quarterfinal showing could quickly reshape the MVP race.
Korea
- Hyeseong Kim +15000
- Jung Hoo Lee +20000
- Dane Dunning +25000
- Jahmai Jones +25000
Dominican Republic
- Juan Soto +1600
- Fernando Tatís Jr. +1600
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +1750
- Junior Caminero +2000
- Julio Rodríguez +3000
- Manny Machado +5000
- Ketel Marte +6000
- Sandy Alcántara +6000
- Cristopher Sánchez +7500
- Brayan Bello +25000
The Dominican Republic features several players near the top of the MVP board, while Korea’s candidates would likely need a statement performance in the quarterfinals to vault into serious contention.
Quarterfinal #2: USA vs. Canada
This is uncharted territory for Canada.
For the first time in World Baseball Classic history, Canada has advanced beyond pool play and into the quarterfinal round. Winning Pool A at 3-1 wasn’t a fluke, it was the result of timely hitting and quality pitching in must-win spots.
Standing in the way is Team USA, which is coming off a shocking pool loss to Italy to finish 3-1. Ironically, Italy then crushed Mexico in the Pool B finale, helping secure Team USA’s spot in the knockout stage. As always, the Americans bring star power throughout the lineup and depth that few nations can match.
USA vs. Canada Game Info
- 📍 Where: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
- 📅 Date: Friday, March 13
- ⏰ First Pitch: 8:00 PM ET
- 📺 Broadcast: FOX
USA vs. Canada Current Odds
Team USA enters the quarterfinal round as a significant favorite at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook. Below is a snapshot of the latest odds for Friday night’s matchup against Canada at Daikin Park.
Odds as of Friday afternoon. Subject to change.
Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | USA -1000, Canada +550 |
| Run Line | USA -4.5 (-130), Canada +4.5 (+105) |
| Total (Runs) | Over 9.5 (-120), Under 9.5 (-110) |
USA vs. Canada Player Props
With plenty of MLB power in both dugouts, Friday night’s prop market is packed with home run, combo, and strikeout options.
To Hit 1+ Home Run
- Aaron Judge +150
- Cal Raleigh +190
- Tyler O’Neill OR Josh Naylor +200
- Kyle Schwarber +220
- Byron Buxton +250
- Josh Naylor OR Owen Caissie +250
- Bryce Harper +300
- Gunnar Henderson +325
- Bobby Witt Jr. +350
- Pete Crow-Armstrong +400
- Will Smith +400
- Tyler O’Neill +425
- Roman Anthony +450
- Alex Bregman +450
- Josh Naylor +500
- Matt Davidson +500
- Brice Turang +600
- Bo Naylor +650
- Abraham Toro +800
- Edouard Julien +900
- Otto Lopez +900
- Denzel Clarke +1100
To Hit 2+ Home Runs
- Aaron Judge +1000
- Cal Raleigh +1500
- Kyle Schwarber +1750
- Byron Buxton +2500
- Bryce Harper +3000
- Gunnar Henderson +3000
- Pete Crow-Armstrong +4000
- Bobby Witt Jr. +4000
- Alex Bregman +4000
- Roman Anthony +5000
- Will Smith +5000
- Tyler O’Neill +5000
- Josh Naylor +6000
- Matt Davidson +6000
- Bo Naylor +7500
- Brice Turang +7500
To Hit a Home Run in First Plate Appearance
- Aaron Judge +700
- Cal Raleigh +850
- Kyle Schwarber +900
- Byron Buxton +1100
- Bryce Harper +1300
- Gunnar Henderson +1400
- Bobby Witt Jr. +1400
- Tyler O’Neill +1500
- Pete Crow-Armstrong +1500
- Will Smith +1500
- Alex Bregman +1750
- Matt Davidson +1750
- Roman Anthony +1750
- Josh Naylor +2000
- Brice Turang +2250
- Bo Naylor +2500
- Abraham Toro +2500
Each to Hit 1+ Home Runs
- Aaron Judge AND Cal Raleigh +600
- Aaron Judge AND Kyle Schwarber +700
- Cal Raleigh AND Bryce Harper +1100
- Tyler O’Neill AND Josh Naylor +2500
- Josh Naylor AND Owen Caissie +4000
Strikeout Props
- Logan Webb 6+ Strikeouts +120
- Michael Soroka 5+ Strikeouts +150
- Logan Webb 7+ Strikeouts +250
- Michael Soroka 6+ Strikeouts +300
- Michael Soroka 7+ Strikeouts +700
In a single-elimination setting, one swing, or one dominant pitching performance, can dramatically shift the game, making both power props and strikeout ladders especially compelling on Friday night.
USA & Canada WBC Championship Odds
The futures market tells two very different stories heading into this quarterfinal matchup.
- Team USA: +130 (WBC champion favorite)
- Canada: +4000 (2nd-longest odds remaining)
A USA win would keep the overall favorite on track for a title run, while a Canada upset would dramatically reshape the championship odds and create one of the biggest surprises of the 2026 World Baseball Classic.
USA & Canada WBC MVP Odds
Several players in this matchup remain firmly in the hunt for tournament MVP honors.
Team USA
- Aaron Judge +550
- Bobby Witt Jr. +1600
- Kyle Schwarber +2000
- Paul Skenes +2500
- Bryce Harper +3000
- Roman Anthony +3000
- Gunnar Henderson +4000
- Cal Raleigh +4000
- Logan Webb +5000
- Alex Bregman +5000
- Nolan McLean +6000
- Byron Buxton +7500
- Brice Turang +7500
- Pete Crow-Armstrong +10000
- Will Smith +10000
- Ernie Clement +10000
- Clayton Kershaw +20000
Canada
- Josh Naylor +10000
- Bo Naylor +25000
- Cal Quantrill +25000
- Edouard Julien +25000
- Michael Soroka +25000
- Owen Caissie +25000
- James Paxton +25000
- Denzel Clarke +25000
- Otto Lopez +25000
- Jameson Taillon +25000
If Team USA continues its title push, expect one of its headliners to gain serious momentum in the MVP race. For Canada, a signature upset fueled by a standout individual effort would be the kind of moment that dramatically shifts this market.
WBC Semifinal Implications
The winners of Friday’s matchups will meet Sunday at 8:00 PM ET at loanDepot park for a spot in the championship game.
- If the Dominican Republic advances, it would remain on its home-field side of the bracket in Miami.
- If Team USA advances, a marquee semifinal clash becomes a real possibility.
- If Canada continues its breakthrough run, it would mark one of the biggest upsets in WBC history.
- If Korea survives, it reasserts itself as a global baseball force.
Team USA and the Dominican Republic also enter the quarterfinals with the two highest total payrolls in this year’s World Baseball Classic, a wide financial gap compared to Canada and particularly Korea. It’s no surprise, considering Team USA and the Dominican Republic feature star-studded MLB rosters.
Check Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook for the latest odds, player props, and live betting options before first pitch.
Referenced odds are subject to change.
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