We are back with another edition of Leading Off, locking in another pair of Hard Rock Best Bets of the Day.
Today’s card features two different betting angles. One of us is targeting a low-scoring showdown between the Orioles and Tigers, while the other is backing a strikeout prop in the Red Sox-Athletics matchup.
Joe Orrico’s Best Bet: Orioles vs. Tigers Under 8.5 Runs (-110)
I’m taking a total for Orioles vs. Tigers at under 8.5 runs. It’s Kyle Bradish vs. Keider Montero. I think people would be surprised by how good Montero has been this year.
WHIP is one of my favorite stats to look at. I think it’s more predictive and tells you more about a pitcher than ERA does.
If you look at the WHIP leaderboards this year, Jacob Misiorowski is No. 1, Yoshinobu Yamamoto is No. 2, Cam Schlittler is No. 3, Drew Rasmussen is No. 4, and Montero comes in at No. 5 with a 0.96 WHIP on the season. He has a 3.14 ERA and has been awesome whenever he’s been given a chance to start, which he’s doing tonight going up against the Orioles.
Bradish, who was a bit of a punchline for the first couple of months of the season, has posted a 2.96 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over the last month. So, I’m targeting two really good starting pitchers who are on a roll.
Give me under 8.5 runs at -110.
Chris Welsh’s Best Bet: Payton Tolle 6+ K’s (-110)
I’m going to stay in the strikeout market, and I’m going with Payton Tolle over six strikeouts.
He’s carrying a 26% strikeout rate and is going up against the Athletics, who rank among the eight worst teams in baseball in strikeouts per game, averaging around 8.5. So, I’m sticking with the Red Sox across the board. He’s been hot, and he’s hit this number over his last couple of starts.
The A’s strike out a decent amount, and with that high strikeout percentage, I really like this number. It’s not super juiced up, either.
Sacramento makes the ball fly, which I think makes people a little scared of this one, but that’s what I’m going with for my Hard Rock Bet of the Day.
FantasyPros’ Best Bets for July 27
- Orioles vs. Tigers Under 8.5 Runs (-110)
- Payton Tolle To Record 6+ Strikeouts (-110)
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