Five races into the 2026 Formula 1 season, only one constructor has stood on the top step of the podium: Mercedes. But that streak could be in serious jeopardy this weekend at the Monaco Grand Prix.
Ferrari has looked dominant through Friday practice, with Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton finishing 1-2 in both FP1 and FP2. On the streets of Monte Carlo, where qualifying position is everything, the Scuderia duo has quickly emerged as the favorites to claim victory in motorsport‘s most iconic race.
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook offers a full slate of Monaco Grand Prix betting markets, from qualifying winner and race winner to props like the first constructor to retire and much more. Below, we’ll break down the latest odds and share our top Monaco Grand Prix picks and predictions.
Referenced odds are subject to change.
F1 Monaco Grand Prix Odds
The current odds on Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook for each driver to win the Monaco Grand Prix are as follows:
- Charles Leclerc -110
- Lewis Hamilton +250
- Max Verstappen +600
- George Russell +1200
- Kimi Antonelli +1200
- Lando Norris +1600
- Oscar Piastri +2000
- Isack Hadjar +4000
- Nico Hülkenberg +50000
- Gabriel Bortoleto +100000
- Oliver Bearman +100000
- Pierre Gasly +100000
- Alexander Albon +250000
- Arvid Lindblad +250000
- Carlos Sainz +250000
- Esteban Ocon +250000
- Fernando Alonso +250000
- Franco Colapinto +250000
- Liam Lawson +250000
- Sergio Perez +250000
- Lance Stroll +500000
- Valtteri Bottas +500000
Who is favored to win the F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Charles Leclerc is the current betting favorite to win the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix (-110). However, that price will change depending on the result of Saturday’s qualifying session.
F1 Moncao Grand Prix Qualifying Odds
Odds to earn pole position during Saturday’s qualifying session are as follows:
- Charles Leclerc +135
- Lewis Hamilton +250
- Max Verstappen +600
- George Russell +1400
- Kimi Antonelli +1400
- Lando Norris +1750
- Oscar Piastri +2500
- Isack Hadjar +6000
- Nico Hülkenberg +50000
- Alexander Albon +100000
- Arvid Lindblad +100000
- Carlos Sainz +100000
- Esteban Ocon +100000
- Franco Colapinto +100000
- Gabriel Bortoleto +100000
- Liam Lawson +100000
- Oliver Bearman +100000
- Pierre Gasly +100000
- Fernando Alonso +250000
- Sergio Perez +250000
- Lance Stroll +500000
- Valtteri Bottas +500000
2026 Moncao Grand Prix Picks & Predictions
Around Monaco the margins are razor thin. A centimeter here or there can make the difference between pole position and a DNF, and nobody knows this better than Charles Leclerc. After all, the Ferrari driver was born and raised in Monaco and won the Monaco Grand Prix back in 2024… but I’m actually going a different direction with my Monaco GP race winner picks.
Monaco GP Pick: Lewis Hamilton Race Winner: +250
Leclerc absolutely dominated the 7-time World Champion in qualifying sessions last season, and as we know qualifying position is extremely important in Monaco… but so far in 2026 across both Grand Prix and Sprint qualifying sessions the two Ferrari drivers are evenly split at 5-5, with Hamilton outpacing him in Montreal just a couple of weeks ago. Plus, while Leclerc won the Monaco GP in 2024… Lewis Hamilton is a three-time winner.
If the Ferrari is really the car to beat this weekend, the margin between Leclerc and Hamilton will be tight and I’d rather be on the side with the better price at +250.
Monaco Grand Prix Info, Schedule, TV
- Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Time: Saturday, June 6 – 10:00am ET
- Formula 1 Moncao Grand Prix Start Time: Sunday, June 7, 9:00am ET
- Where to Watch: AppleTV+
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