Sherman’s Take: Week 6 Monday Night Football Preview

We’ve got two Monday night games this week — Bills vs. Falcons and Bears vs. Commanders — and both have a little more drama than the lines might suggest. All NFL odds and lines come courtesy of our partners at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook, and I’m breaking down how I see it going down.

Bills (-4.5) at Falcons: A Bounce-Back Game in the Making

Look, I can see the Bills covering the spread here (-4.5 points). I know some people are hesitant after how they struggled last week, but I see this as a rebound spot.

The Falcons’ defense has been spotty — they’ll look disciplined for stretches and then give up a couple big plays that flip the game. Buffalo’s got too much firepower and too much pride to let two flat weeks stack up. This is a veteran football team that knows how to respond when the noise gets loud.

Josh Allen’s heard the criticism. That offense has been inconsistent, and they know it. But this is one of those “reset” games where they come out focused, efficient, and ready to remind everyone they’re still a top-tier AFC team.

I’ve been in those locker rooms after a tough loss — everybody’s sharper, everybody’s dialed in. That’s what I expect to see from Buffalo. Bills cover.

Commanders (-4.5) vs. Bears: Too Many Unknowns

Now this one’s trickier — Commanders giving four and a half to the Bears. Normally, I’d like Washington at home in a spot like this, but I just can’t say that confidently right now.

They’re banged up. Terry McLaurin’s dealing with injuries, and that offense looks completely different when he’s not 100%. There’s also uncertainty around Debo Samuel’s status, which adds another layer if he’s limited or out.

Chicago’s got their own issues — new system, young quarterback, inconsistent execution — but when you’ve got injuries on one side and a desperate team on the other, that line feels heavy.

I’m not sure I’ve got the Commanders covering this one. They could win outright, sure, but it might be tighter than people expect. I’ll take the Bears to keep it close as the underdog.

Anytime TD Picks: Coleman and My Stanford Guy

If you’re looking for some prop action, my anytime touchdown picks this week are Keon Coleman and Zach Ertz — my Stanford guy. I like both of them to find the end zone. Coleman’s been building chemistry and confidence, and Zach’s been doing what Stanford guys do — making smart, impactful plays when it matters most.

Final Word

It’s Monday night — two games, two chances to make a statement. Let’s see who steps up.