NFL Futures Forecast: Bucs, Burrow Headline Most-Bet Markets

As a brand new NFL season gets set to kick off on Thursday night, Hard Rock Bet is seeing an influx of last-minute futures bets come flying in. 

Back at the start of preseason, we broke down the most popular plays across markets like Super Bowl LX winner, NFL MVP and much more.

Now, as Dallas and Philadelphia get ready to open the season, it’s time to revisit the board – spotlighting the biggest movers since our last update along with a few other bets too intriguing to ignore. From a two-way player’s exclusive market gaining steam to a new quarterback leading the way in total MVP bets, this is one you won’t want to miss.

Most-bet teams to win Super Bowl LX

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2500)
2. Buffalo Bills (+650)
3. Detroit Lions (+1200)
4. Baltimore Ravens (+650)
5. Philadelphia Eagles (+700)

Perhaps the most notable omissions from our last Super Bowl LX futures update were the favorites. About one month ago to the day, the Bills, Ravens, Eagles and Lions were all nowhere to be found on our list of most-bet teams to win this year’s Super Bowl. Previously comprised of long-shots like the Giants and Jaguars, Hard Rock Bet is starting to see bettors shift to some of the more realistic options to lift the Lombardi Trophy in February 2026.

Parsons Plummets Packers’ Price

Outside of Kansas City, Green Bay was the only other team with odds of 12-1 or shorter to not crack the Top 5 most-bet teams to win the Super Bowl at Hard Rock Bet. This is largely due to the fact that Green Bay was positioned around the middle of the pack in terms of odds for most of the offseason, priced as high as +2250.

It wasn’t until they completed a blockbuster trade for Cowboys LB Micah Parsons on August 28th that we saw the Packers’ Super Bowl price get sliced nearly in half. Following the marquee addition, the Packers currently sit at +1200 to win it all and have surpassed Detroit as the preseason favorite to win the NFC North.

Bucs, Bills, Lions, Ravens, Eagles and … Travis Hunter?

Believe it or not, an exclusive market at Hard Rock Bet surrounding Jaguars rookie sensation Travis Hunter is garnering more interest from bettors than 27 (!) NFL teams’ Super Bowl futures.

That’s right – after the Bucs, Bills, Lions, Ravens and Eagles, the Travis Hunter special pictured below has racked up the sixth-most bets among all NFL futures placed at Hard Rock Bet thus far.

While it would require the No. 2 overall pick to do the unprecedented and take home both the Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year awards in the same season, players at Hard Rock Bet are feeling confident that Hunter has what it takes to make history in 2025.

Most-bet players to win NFL MVP

1. Joe Burrow (+600)
2. Baker Mayfield (+2500)
3. Jayden Daniels (+900)
4. Lamar Jackson (+500)
5. Josh Allen (+550)

Another major development from the last time we checked in revolves around the upcoming race for Most Valuable Player.

Back in early August, Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield held sole possession of the most bets to win the 2025 NFL MVP. Although the Florida faithful is clearly bullish on a third consecutive stellar season from Mayfield, he has since been surpassed by Bengals QB Joe Burrow as the most-bet player to win MVP.

Both Burrow and Mayfield are currently neck-and-neck in terms of total action, but have respectively racked up more than twice as many bets as anyone else in the Top 5, which consists of Commanders QB Jayden Daniels, Ravens QB Lamar Jackson and Bills QB Josh Allen, who will look to defend his title after being crowned the league’s MVP in 2024.

Most-bet team win totals: Over

1. New York Giants Over 5.5 Wins
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 9.5 Wins
3. Pittsburgh Steelers Over 8.5 Wins
4. Miami Dolphins Over 8.5 Wins
5. Denver Broncos Over 8.5 Wins

Let’s talk team win totals. It may be shocking to some, but the New York Giants have received the most bets among all teams to go over their projected win total in 2025. Set at just 5.5 wins, Hard Rock Bet players are feeling optimistic about Big Blue after an exciting preseason display and a shift from Daniel Jones to trusty veteran Russell Wilson at quarterback.

Beyond New York, a pair of local favorites in the Buccaneers and Dolphins unsurprisingly cracked the Top 5, with the Pittsburgh Steelers and newly-acquired QB Aaron Rodgers sandwiched between them. The Denver Broncos clocked in with the fifth-most bets to go over their win total of 8.5, which has since jumped up to 9.5 at Hard Rock Bet.

Most-bet team win totals: Under

1. Miami Dolphins Under 8.5 Wins
2. New England Patriots Under 8.5 Wins
3. New Orleans Saints Under 6.5 Wins
4. Indianapolis Colts Under 7.5 Wins
5. San Francisco 49ers Under 10.5 Wins

As far as unders go, the Dolphins were the lone team to appear on both lists. While Miami did receive the fourth-most bets to eclipse their win total of 8.5, they also ended up with the most bets to fall short of the same number. Some may call it pessimism, while others might consider it a hedge on happiness for a subset of football fans down in South Beach.

After Miami, the New England Patriots clocked in with the second-most bets to finish under their projected total of 8.5 wins. Following consecutive 4-13 seasons in Foxboro, bettors at Hard Rock Bet aren’t buying the hype despite a strong offseason by the Pats.

The third and fourth-most bets were placed on two teams facing dreary outlooks in 2025 in the New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts, both of which enter the season with messy situations at quarterback and young coordinators-turned-head coaches at the helm.

Last but not least, we have the San Francisco 49ers rounding out the list with the fifth-most bets to finish under their total of 10.5 wins. After surpassing this mark in 2022 and 2023, the 49ers faced an injury-riddled campaign in 2024 that saw them finish 6-11 and miss the postseason for the first time in four seasons. Despite the consistency we’ve seen from Kyle Shanahan and co., Hard Rock Bet players seem to believe the glory days are all but over in Santa Clara.