What’s up, everybody – it’s Terrell Furman Jr., back with another edition of Fast Break Bets, powered by Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook.
Let’s get into it. I got three plays for you today – all sharp, all researched, and all ready to sweep the board. Let’s make some money.
Lonzo Ball Over 4.5 Assists (-114)
I’m starting in Cleveland with Lonzo Ball – and I love this prop. Lonzo’s been automatic early this season. Even on a minutes restriction (about 23-24 per game), he’s gone over 4.5 assists in all four games and is averaging six per night.
He’s facing a Toronto team that plays fast and guards nobody. The Raptors are bottom five in opponent points in the paint and missing Jakob Poeltl, leaving their interior wide open. That’s perfect for a passer like Lonzo – push the pace, find cutters, rack up easy dimes.
At -114, this number’s too low. Lonzo’s IQ and playmaking are shining in this system. Expect him to land 5-6 assists with ease.
Evan Mobley Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds (Hard Rock Bet of the Day)
You know we had to have a Hard Rock Bet of the Day, and this one’s all about Evan Mobley.
Mobley’s in a prime spot tonight – both Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen are questionable, which could leave Mobley as the Cavs’ go-to guy. When Mitchell’s out, Mobley steps up – he’s cleared this combo line in 7 of his last 10 games without him.
Toronto’s defense down low is a mess. They’re undersized, allow the fifth-most points in the paint, and give up plenty of second-chance looks. Mobley’s length and touch inside are going to shine.
Even if Allen or Mitchell play, I still like it. If both sit? Smash the over. Mobley Over 30.5 P+R – that’s the Hard Rock Bet special.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 21.5 Points
All right, time for a get-right spot. After that brutal 2-for-12 night for KAT versus the Bucks, this is the bounce-back we’ve been waiting for.
Chicago’s defense against centers is atrocious. They’re dead last in the NBA, giving up nearly 30 points per game to the position. Everybody’s been torching them – Sabonis, Duren, even Isaiah Stewart dropped 20. KAT’s skill set is built for this matchup. He can pull Vucevic out of the paint, attack off the dribble, or score inside against a soft interior.
He’s also cleared this number in his last three against Chicago: 46, 44, and 32. It’s a perfect setup. KAT over 21.5 points, and don’t be shocked if he flirts with 30+.
Let’s Sweep Friday
Here’s the recap:
- Lonzo Ball – Over 4.5 Assists (-114)
- Evan Mobley – Over 30.5 Points + Rebounds (Hard Rock Bet of the Day)
- Karl-Anthony Towns – Over 21.5 Points
Three plays, three overs, and one mission: get back in the win column and cash all tickets.
Referenced odds and lines are subject to change.
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