The NFL’s Week 9 slate is packed with intrigue, and the BettingPros crew dug into every edge, trend, and trap across the board. From Bijan’s bounce-back opportunity to Buffalo’s offensive surge and another Tomlin underdog spot, the panel has your sharpest angles covered.
Furman: Falcons +5.5 at Patriots
If betting ugly is an art, Terrell Furman is Picasso. He’s diving straight back into the “Close Your Eyes Special” this week with Atlanta +5.5 at New England.
The Falcons’ defense remains quietly solid, and this matchup plays right into Bijan Robinson’s hands. New England ranks 25th in DVOA against running backs in the passing game, a soft spot that Robinson should exploit early and often. With Michael Penix expected back under center, Atlanta can open things up through the air and keep this game tighter than the odds suggest.
It won’t be pretty, but that’s the point. The Patriots are overvalued off a morale-boosting win, while Atlanta’s defense and versatile backfield can grind out drives. Don’t blink, don’t flinch – just back the birds and hold your breath.
Erickson: Seahawks -3 at Commanders
Nine straight road wins. Ten in a row as road favorites. That’s all you really need to know about Seattle’s travel resume.
Erickson’s laying -3 with the Seahawks and he’s confident that their pass rush will overwhelm a Washington team limping through injuries. The Commanders are down Terry McLaurin, their left tackle is dinged up, and Jayden Daniels may still not be 100%.
Rested off a bye, Seattle checks every box: superior trenches, coaching edge, and historical dominance on the road.
Furman: Steelers +3 vs Colts
You can set your watch to it: Mike Tomlin as an underdog is the trend that refuses to die.
Pittsburgh stumbled last week, but Furman’s betting on the bounce-back. The Steelers are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 as dogs, and the home crowd will be deafening after Green Bay fans took over their stadium.
The Colts’ offense has been humming, but Tomlin’s teams don’t stay down for long. Expect Pittsburgh’s defense to rise up, ugly this game up, and keep it within a field goal – or even steal it late.
🎸 Hard Rock Best Bets of the Week
Without further ado, here are our Hard Rock Best Bets of the Week:
Joe Pisapia: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 45.5 Rushing Yards
Seattle’s front has allowed the fewest rushing yards in football. Washington’s offense is stuck in neutral, and game script should force them to the air early. Easy under.
Terrell Furman: Bijan Robinson Over 38.5 Receiving Yards
After last week’s miss, Bijan gets his redemption arc. The Patriots are elite against the run but liabilities in coverage, and Atlanta’s game plan flows through its star back. Don’t stop there – Terrell’s eyeing alt lines at 50 (+160), 65 (+350), and 100 (+1000). Swing for the fences.
Andrew Erickson: Bills Team Total Over 25.5 Points
Buffalo at home is a wagon. Josh Allen torches KC’s secondary again in a must-watch AFC shootout. Fifteen of their last 20 full games have topped 30 points – Erickson says make it sixteen.
Upset Special: Raiders (+134 ML vs Jaguars)
Don’t bury Vegas just yet. Brock Bowers returns this week and adds a new dimension to this offense. Jacksonville’s banged-up and traveling cross-country: a perfect recipe for a home dog surprise in Sin City.
Pisapia’s Parlay of the Week: (+485)
- Chargers -9.5 vs Titans
- Colts ML (-158)
- Jacorei Croskey-Merritt Under 45.5 Rush Yards
Three legs, one tasty ticket. Let’s ride.
Referenced odds and lines are subject to change.
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