MLB Spring Training is here! Pitchers and catchers are officially reporting, and if you haven’t checked the World Series futures board on Hard Rock Bet since November, you might want to sit down for this one.
Last year’s offseason was headlined by Juan Soto after he chose Queens over the Bronx, and this winter offered no shortage of drama either. Kyle Tucker went to the Dodgers. Pete Alonso packed his bags for Baltimore. And the ripple effects on the World Series odds have been massive. Some teams saw their prices slashed nearly in half. Others drifted into long shot territory so fast it would make your head spin.
But before we talk more about who moved where, let’s look at the numbers that actually matter for your betting card heading into the 2026 season.
Latest 2026 World Series Odds at Hard Rock Bet
Let’s check out some of the biggest movers since November at Hard Rock Bet:
Teams That Shortened (Improved Odds)
- Los Angeles Dodgers: +350 ➡️ +230
- Baltimore Orioles: +4000 ➡️ +2250
- Chicago Cubs: +2500 ➡️ +1750
- Atlanta Braves: +2000 ➡️ +1500
- Pittsburgh Pirates: +20000 ➡️ +10000
The Dodgers went from +350 to +230 after adding Tucker on an enormous four-year, $240 million deal. Their implied World Series probability jumped from roughly 22% to over 30%.
But the move that should catch bettors’ eyes is Baltimore. The Orioles went from +4000 to +2250 after landing a pair of former Mets in Pete Alonso on a five-year, $155 million contract and closer Ryan Helsley for two years and $28 million. Those two moves nearly doubled their implied probability to win it all.
Teams That Drifted (Worse Odds)
- Houston Astros: +1200 ➡️ +2250
- Philadelphia Phillies: +1000 ➡️ +1400
- St. Louis Cardinals: +10000 ➡️ +20000
- Tampa Bay Rays: +4000 ➡️ +10000
- Washington Nationals: +15000 ➡️ +50000
Houston drifted hard after losing Tucker to the Dodgers, dropping from +1200 to +2250. The Cardinals, now in full teardown mode after trading Brendan Donovan to the Mariners (on top of dealing Sonny Gray and Willson Contreras to Boston), ballooned from +10000 to +20000. That’s rebuild pricing.
The Phillies haven’t done much this offseason, but they have been popping up in the news this week. Manager Rob Thomson all but confirmed that ace Zack Wheeler won’t be ready for Opening Day, while the club also stated that it hopes to trade Nick Castellanos, per reports. It feels like Philadelphia has been trying to move on from Castellanos for almost a full calendar year, so we’ll see what difference this week makes.
MLB Stars Changing Uniforms: Offseason Cheat Sheet
The Mets have seemingly retooled their entire roster around Soto. They added reliever Devin Williams on a three-year, $51 million deal to shore up the bullpen, signed Bo Bichette for three years and $126 million, and traded for Freddy Peralta from the Brewers. That’s a complete makeover. Yet they went from +1200 to +1400 on the board (depending on when in November you looked), partly because they lost Alonso and Edwin Diaz along the way. There could be some value there if the new pieces click.
Toronto held steady at +1400 after locking down Dylan Cease for seven years and $210 million. They went to the World Series in 2025 and came back with an ace-caliber arm to lead the rotation. The Blue Jays are a team that isn’t going away quietly.
The Mariners also held at +1300, but don’t sleep on Seattle. The Donovan acquisition from St. Louis gives them a versatile infielder who made the All-Star team last year, and Josh Naylor’s extension keeps their lineup intact after an ALCS run.
Even the Pirates deserve a mention. Marcell Ozuna signed a one-year, $12 million deal earlier this week, and combined with the Brandon Lowe trade, Pittsburgh actually cut its odds in half from +20000 to +10000. They’re still a long shot, but Paul Skenes gives them a rotation anchor most teams would do anything for.
Best World Series Bets
The World Series futures board on Hard Rock Bet is telling a clear story right now. The Dodgers are the team to beat at +230, and honestly, it’s hard to argue. Adding Tucker to a lineup with Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman is borderline unfair.
But futures betting isn’t about finding the favorite. It’s about finding the price. The Orioles at +2250, the Cubs at +1750, and the Mets at +1400 all represent teams that significantly improved this winter and could offer serious value if you’re looking for a longer play before the season even starts.
The most important thing is to have responsible fun while making your calculated wagers. There are countless ways to approach World Series betting. It seems like everyone will be chasing the Dodgers, but there are plenty of teams that have added ammunition to make a run at the throne.
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